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I believe the key to understanding the seemingly absurd "strategy" of the Bush Administration is to review their rhetoric right after September 11. The alleged "War" on terror was going to last 40 or 50 years; they intended to "drain the swamp" of the middle east.
If you take these pronouncements literally, and if you regard them in the light of the Project for a New American Century's original manifesto, you realize that we are all looking at their actions from far too short of a time frame. Their goal is to make sure that the USA rules the world, and to prevent any other power from emerging to challenge the American Empire.
In order to conquer the middle east, and thereby gain control of the politics and resources of the region, the USA will have to re-colonize all the countries in the area. Obviously, the all-volunteer military and our current level of military commitment cannot accomplish this (demented) goal.
If you think only in terms of Bush's time in office, the futility of their grandiose theory seems perplexing, at best, and insane at worst.
But if you look at the domestic political spin which drives their wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and seems to be driving their next war in Iran, you see that we are being intentionally drawn into quagmires. It is impossible to win any of these wars without a draft and without a total recasting of our national character -- but it is also politically impossible to get out of any of these wars.
Once we bomb Iran, and the Bush Government and the Right Wing Progaganda Machine breaks into Full Gloat Mode at how we nipped the nuclear threat in the bud, the Iranians will launch their counter attacks -- and they will be painful.
Who in America will be able to stand up against the GOP Media Blitzkreig at that point? Who in the Congress will say that we cannot afford to respond to Iran's counter-escalation of the war Bush will have started? With ships sinking at sea, with our troops in Iraq under fire from Iranian guns, with fuel prices going through the roof due to Iranian revenge -- who will have the political strength to say, "Hey, it's Bush's fault and we never should have picked this fight!"?
Such voices will be plentiful on the internet and in street demonstrations -- all of which the Mainstream Media and all the Respected National Voices in the country will denounce as cowardice and treason.
No, Bush will not win the war against Iran. Nor will his successor. But the PNAC traitors will get what they want -- an open ended war against the whole Middle East that no American President can end.
The sponsors of the show, Halliburton, et. al, will get what they want, too: trillions of dollars spent on war for decades.
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