http://www.chicagotribune.com/entertainment/arts/chi-perspec0208fightfeb08,0,3004606.story By R. Thomas Buffenbarger
February 8, 2009
On Friday, the Department of Labor reported that 598,000 jobs were lost in January. More than 200,000 of those jobs were lost in the manufacturing sector. The employment rate now stands at a staggering 7.6 percent. The global credit crunch, finally and decisively, has thrown the gears of growth into reverse in virtually every nation of the G20, the world's economic powerhouses. The Economist reported Depression-era decreases in industrial production—down 16.2 percent in Japan, 13.9 percent in Turkey, 9.7 percent in Italy, 8.7 percent in Russia and 7.2 percent in the U.S. as of November—even before lackluster holiday sales. Those are lagging indicators pointing to a prolonged global recession.
This global recession is like a runaway tractor-trailer. Downshifting works, once in a while. If the incline is too steep or the load too heavy, downshifting destroys the gearbox. Momentum does the rest. When the rig comes to rest—and it will, eventually—the wreckage is found everywhere. The stimulus act moving through Congress, with its mix of tax cuts and spending and (in the House version) "Buy American" provisions, will repair some of the damage done to America's economy.
But I believe a second stimulus package is needed. Revitalizing America's manufacturing sector must be its highest priority. Here is why: America's trading partners will not buy a trillion dollars in U.S. Treasury notes to finance our recovery while their own economies sink deeper into recession. They've already been burned badly once. Yankee traders sold them the toxic debt—the subprime mortgages, credit default swaps and collateralized debt obligations—that triggered this global recession. Selling them more commercial paper stamped "Made in America" is not a viable option. Our only recourse is to make things other nations will buy. To stimulate our own economic revival, we must renovate our plants, install new machinery and hone the skills of our workforce.
America needs a 21st Century version of Franklin Roosevelt's Works Progress Administration. Roosevelt put millions of Americans back to work on an emergency basis in 1935. He did so by creating jobs that would produce "permanent improvements in living conditions or that creates future new wealth for the nation." Roosevelt's basic strategy can be re-engineered for the manufacturing sector. Today's unemployed can be put to work renovating factories and installing new equipment; devising new financing, marketing and sales packages for local businesses; and reinventing our decaying skills-delivery system. Letting counties and local communities hire the unemployed with federal dollars and improve their global competitiveness can jump-start depressed local economies. But an effective manufacturing sector stimulus package cannot stop there.
FULL story at link.