|
Edited on Wed Jun-27-07 06:39 AM by onenote
Well, maybe it would be if you surmise a hypothetical, completely unrealistic imo, that there is a well-publicized and acknowledged effort by repubs to drive Cheney from office coincident with efforts by Democrats to frustrate that effort. Okay, if that happens, its a disaster for Democrats.
But under any realistic scenario, its not. Assuming that there is a realistic scenario that involves repubs pushing Cheney out (and again, at this point, there is nothing to back up Quinn's speculation about a repub effort against cheney). One scenario is that key repubs publicly signal that they want cheney impeached -- how would they do this in a way that wouldn't be a bluff? Well, they'd pretty much have to sign on to the impeachment resolution that already was introduced and co-sponsored by eight democrats. At that point, there is no reason to think that, with key repubs having jumped on, that Conyers doesn't start hearings and away we go. With Conyers in the lead and far more Democrats supporting the effort than repubs (and some leading repubs, dead-enders, fighting it hard), the result, in the end, will be like that following the Nixon impeachment effort -- repubs jump ship, but repubs take it in the chops the following november.
Or the repubs more unanimously amongst themselves come to the conclusion that cheney has to go. Of course, they don't want all the dirty laundry, which will splatter all over chimpy and themselves, publicly aired in an impeachment process, so they go to Cheney privately and beg him to step down. As I pointed out, cheney's most likely response to this request, is to tell them to fuck themselves. Or he has a change of heart (irony intended) and announces for health reasons he's going to step down. Now some deal already has to have been worked out as to a replacement and that's going to be damn near impossible for the repubs to do. But assuming that they overcome that issue, the deal almost certainly will have to be accompanied by great demonstrations of repub public support for and defense of cheney for his great and wonderful service to American and attacks on the bad, unpatriotic, vindictive Democrats who went after this ailing patriot. Cheney is not leaving voluntarily without such a deal (and, again, the repubs who have defended him or remained silent over the years have to praise him as a self-protective measure or admit that they were complicit).
Or, and I think this is unlikely, after cheney balks at a private appeal for him to step down, a group of powerful leading repubs goes public with a demand that Cheney leave office "for the good of the country", maybe admitting he's abused power or more likely blaming the Democrats for a witch-hunt that has made it impossible for Cheney to effectively serve. The former approach will be viewed by the public as a vindication for what the Democrats have been saying -- Cheney's a bad guy and the repubs finally are admitting it. But since the repubs won't have pushed for impeachment, there will be no backlash against the Democrats for not moving forward with that process. All anyone will care about is the result. Under the "blame the Democrats for tarnishing this good man" approach, the repub base will be pleased and will rally, but the rest of the country won't buy it.
In short, I don't see any realistic scenario where the Democrats are hurt if repubs turn on cheney. The only way that could happen is if the Democrats actually fought to keep cheney against repub efforts to oust him, and that is simply unrealistic to believe will happen.
|