http://blog.wired.com/defense/2007/11/psychological-o.html#morePsychological operations specialist Sgt. Joe Colabuno spent a year-and-a-half helping convince the Sunni residents of Fallujah to turn against local extremists by appealing to citizens' sense of civic pride, pumping up their love of the national soccer team, citing the Koran, and provoking jihadists to overreact. Colabuno also appealed to the Sunnis hatred and fear of Shi'ites, and of Shi'ite Iran.
"For 7 or 8 months," Colabuno tells me, "all we hear about is 'Iran is doing all
, Iran is behind everything.' There was frustration from them (Fallujah's locals) because we wouldn't 'admit it.' Like maybe the U.S. was conspiring with Iran."
"We'd stress in our SITREPS (situation reports) that in order to get these people on our side, we've got to play into their fears abut Iran," he adds.
Then, in January, "the White House suddenly got involved," talking tough about how Tehran was stoking instability in Iraq. "That overnight changed the attitudes of the people towards us. They took it as almost an apology," he adds.
...
The successes of the American counterinsurgency strategy in Iraq have, so far, been hyperlocal: local watchmen, patrolling their mini-neighborhoods; local tribal and political leaders, making deals with American commanders. And in that context, playing on fears on Shi'ite boogeymen in Sunni regions makes a ton of sense.
The question, though, is what are the national consequences of this local strategy. How can the U.S. encourage country-wide reconciliation -- while riding a wave of sectarian hate?
UPDATE: Over at the Worldwide Standard, Michael Goldfarb says not to worry. And he quotes a pre-eminent military strategist to supposed his position. "In the words of Billy Joel, 'we didn't start the fire,' he writes.
"Sectarian hate" predated the American invasion of Iraq, and we'd be foolish not to exploit it, when possible, to further our own ends. This is how empires effectively managed unruly provinces for centuries. Noah's not all wrong, it's certainly a dangerous game. But it seems that the strategy, for now, is showing obvious signs of success. Down the road it may cause problems, but back in January, everyone expected down the road to be all out civil war--so this seems like a good problem to have.
:crazy: