What is your political predictions for 2008? I will put this in my journal

[alfredo]

so we can see who got it wrong and who got it right. I'm including the economy in it because it is a election year.

Go for it.

[silverojo]

1. Bush will continue running the world into the ground

And if we're lucky, we'll only have a recession; if we're not so lucky, it'll be Great Depression II: The Sequel. :scared:

[angrycarpenter]

2. terrorist attack in summer

state of emergency, elections canceled, Opposition imprisoned, All media under government control. B and C will not go without bloodshed.

[Kingshakabobo]

11. If you are right, you won't even get to bragg......

Where's the fun in that?

[Seabiscuit]

25. Blackwater arresting anyone in their homes Bushco labels "dissidents".

[Seabiscuit]

26. Judges take to the street in protest and are gassed, arrested, sent to secret CIA prisons and

waterboarded.

Neocons with no legal training will take their places.

[terrya]

3. Democrats win Presidency: increase margins in House and Senate

[Thothmes]

44. Agree.

[femmocrat]

4. McCain will be the republican nominee.

That's all I got.

[Yupster]

28. I agree

Hillary and McCain get nominations.

Hillary wins easily in a race similar to Clinton-Dole election. Hillary commends McCain everywhere for his amazing past and all the help he's been over his many years serving America. McCain looks like he's just going through the motions, and the race is never close.

Slight Democratic gains in House, but major gains in the senate.

VP candidates are Bill Richardson and Kay Bailey Hutchison.

That's alls I gots.

[L. Coyote]

5. Indictments on Capital Hill Shock Nation. Everyone except DU asks, "Why wasn't this in the news?"

[Viva_La_Revolution]

6. Economy gets worse

unfortunately. I don't see the beginnings of a turn-around until 2009 (if we elect a Dem.) The Feds will have to pull out all the stops to prevent a New Depression (if they can at all... I have my doubts.)

I'm reserving judgment on the Primaries. I hope Edwards pulls it out, otherwise chaos is going to increase exponentially (here on DU and in the greater population which could throw the whole GE into it's own brand of chaos).

If Edwards, Biden or Richardson get the nom., then we win in Nov. If Clinton or Obama do, it's a toss up. Gavel, DK and Dodd won't get the nom.

Several Republican politicians will be arrested/accused/investigated for assorted sexual/criminal/creepy indiscretions, a Dem. politician will save a child from flaming car accident without the MSM covering it, and Michael Jackson will release a new #1 hit that people can't help groovin' to regardless of the accusations because it just sooo grooovy... and Rosie O'Donnell will win Dancing with the Stars.

:)

on edit: We will gain Super-majorities in the House and Senate unless they really crank up the vote fraud (which might not be so easy with the recent victories in CA, OH, etc).

[Ioo]

7. Huckabbe vs Clinton - Clinton wins by landslide (Dems mad they elected Hillary)

I am not a Hillary fan, I suspect her political gears will get her back on track... we will elect her, and then wonder why we have a Republican in the White House.

[alfredo]

13. Will Hillary out campaign him, or will he self destruct?

[book_worm]

8. John McCain will be GOP nominee and Dems will probably nominate Hillary Clinton

and unfortunately I think that McCain would win that election--narrowly, probably by 2 or 3 points.

[unkachuck]

9. predictions are fun....

....Edwards/Obama win with only 51-1/2% of the vote....

....economy will be 'patched' for the election with quick-fix legislation happily signed into law; shit hits the fan with a global economic melt-down in 2009....

....in July, bushco will declare victory in Iraq and begin large scale troop withdrawal leaving 50000 troops in Iraq by November....he will receive complete support from all Democrats except me....the unreported civil war in Iraq dramatically intensifies....

....McCain wins the nomination but has his long overdue heart attack and dies a week before the pukes convention....rudy gets the nomination on the 5th ballot after promising not to die until after his first term....

....hillary cuts a talk-show program deal with oprah to be broadcast opposite the evening news....katie quits cbs and returns to nbc to take over MTP; potato-head moves to This Week after george leaves to manage rudys failing campaign....

[balantz]

10. Fundamentalists drop a nuke to start Armageddon

and then we all die.

(Though I sincerely hope not!)

[alfredo]

12. The economy will be the issue unless we get attacked again. It won't help

bush, people have stopped listening to him. He will be blamed.

Can't predict the Dem primary.

Romney and Huck cage match. Huck will keep the evangelicals, but his Gosh Gee act will become an object of ridicule. Romney won't be able to close the deal.

McCain will have his moments but will disappear from the scene as soon as the voting heads south.

It might come down to a brokered convention.

The stagecraft of this convention will pale in comparison to the WWE style events of bush's years.

The GE will be very nasty, mean, ugly. The winner will limp into the white house.

Modest gains in the Senate We won't gain the sixty needed seats.

Healthy gains in the house.

[JohnLocke]

14. Edwards v. Romney.

[balantz]

16. I like that one!

[JohnLocke]

20. Addendum: Edwards crushes him.

[burythehatchet]

40. that's my call as well.

[K Gardner]

15. Economic collapse, Marshall Law, no elections :-)

[2hip]

23. An "event", Iran attack, martial law, no elections

The PPT will keep the economy sputtering along with spit and bandaids. Full-on economic collapse won't come until after the "event".


Edwards '08 tees!

[K Gardner]

47. You think THIS is the "Event" ?? God, this is scary.

[2hip]

54. NO - a NEW "event" will be manufactured for the U.S.

as a point of reference, I'm in the 9/11 MIHOP camp.

[Initech]

17. GOP will be Huckabee, Dems will be Edwards

Edwards will crush Huckabee.

[balantz]

18. I like that one too!

[TwilightGardener]

19. Obama v. Romney. Obama wins.

[alfredo]

21. Obama is more real than Romney. He comes across more human, more

accessible, even if that may not be the reality. I think people would be very comfortable with him.

[CK_John]

22. Market at 8000 in Nov. Bloomberg forces election into the House and Senate.

House elects Romney and Senate elects Hillary VP.

[Yupster]

29. Good lord

Which state is Blomberg going to win?

[CK_John]

30. At least 5 on the East Coast, 3 in Midwest and 2 on the West Coast. n/t

[Yupster]

31. I'm in the south, so

I guess that's why I don't see it.

[ieoeja]

39. I'm in Chicago, and I don't see that either. n/t

[CK_John]

41. I was thinking of WI as one of 3 in the midwest. n/t

[MonkeyFunk]

32. Why would a Democratic House

elect Romney?

[CK_John]

37. In the House each state gets 1 vote when voting for president. GOP controls more states. n/t

[MonkeyFunk]

52. ah yes

that's right. I used to know that :D

[Seabiscuit]

24. Market will remain static with periodic ups and downs; Edwards is elected President

But I have no idea who his VP would be, and since a year ago I was hoping he'd be Gore's attorney general, I have no idea who he'd appoint as attorney general.

I think Biden would gladly accept the VP slot.

I think Obama would fit as head of urban development.

I see no place for Hillary in his cabinet.

I think Richardson wants an ambassadorship.

Is Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. available for anything?

The DOW will swing back and forth between 12,700 and 15,000. It will be somewhere between those numbers in November, 2008.

[Seabiscuit]

27. Cindy Sheehan unseats Nancy Pelosi.

That's right, mods, I'm not advocating, jes' "predictin'". :)

On peut rever, n'est-ce-pas?

[cali]

35. Of course and

Dennis is unanimously selected at a brokered convention and wins the Presidency.

[MonkeyFunk]

33. I know it's not popular to say here

but we will have elections next November, and a new Democratic President will be inaugurated in January, 2009.

[radfringe]

34. here goes

-- a few more impeachable offenses will be revealed, but nothing will be done about it. white house will stall, duck and dodge subpoenas to testify. bush will say he knew nothing about it until he read about it in a newspaper

-- republics will continue to obstruct, and then tag Dems as a do-nothing congress

-- congress will continue to pass supplemental funding for iraq occupation with no accountability

-- 2 or 3 more "surprise" resignations/retirements by republic senators/representatives in connection to sex/money scandals

-- Rove signs on with republic nominee

-- Whitewater resurfaces and follows Clinton

-- MAJOR terra-lert nationwide just before or after the Democratic Convention.

-- More countries switch to trading in EUROs sending the dollar even lower.

-- Housing market hits the skids, forclosures/bankruptcies hit new highs, DOW drops below 10,000. Economy in recession and republics/bushies go into denial mode.

-- 3rd party candidate, probably running as independent (bloomberg?) has both the Democratic and republic party scrambling

-- Iraq gets worse, Taliban increases range of power and puts Afghanistan on the verge of erupting into full-scale civil war

-- to divert attention away from calls to withdraw from Iraq, republics/bushies will increase the rhetoric/spin about Iran .. essentially saying we can't pull out of Iraq because we need the troops there to protect Iraq from Iran

-- 3 or 4 more big RECALLS of food resulting in lots of hearings in congress about food/product safety. Legislation may be drawn up to address problem, but either it will fail to pass entirely or bush will veto it saying such regulations will hurt the economy

-- bloodiest/dirtiest presidential campaign season ever

-- Condi Rice resigns

[alfredo]

36. OK, the Bhutto assassination has thrown a monkey wrench into

any predictions for the Mideast. Any predictions on changes to bush's Iraq war? What will we do in Afghanistan and Pakistan?

[CK_John]

38. IMO, you shouldn't change the rules of this post when the real world butts it's ugly side. n/t

[alfredo]

45. Just saying some who may have commented on foreign affairs can

amend their predictions.

[IDemo]

42. The summer driving season will bring $4.00 or higher gas prices

The economic fallout of high oil prices will be impossible to ignore any longer.

The water situation in Georgia should be becoming very interesting by then, as well.

[alfredo]

51. It seems they have gotten a bit of rain, but not near enough. If it

gets worse, will we see a migration out of the area? (refugees)

[BlueIris]

43. Continuing economic decline, more natural disasters, Repubs nominate McCain and Dems do Candidate X.

Candidate X wins and has his election recognized. Yeah, I know, that sounds like a political impossibility at this point, BUT as each day goes by I am more and more certain that neither Hillary, Barack, John Edwards or anyone else currently in the race will get the actual nomination or serve as president.

ETA: As for other kinds of things that could happen in '08: I think we're overdue for some more bad airplane crashes. One of the things to go by the wayside during the Bush nightmare has been actual maintenance of planes by the airlines. There are tons of very unsafe aircraft up there with more than a few drunk, high, and economically marginalized pilots behind the controls.

[Dukkha]

46. a staged attack in October * calls for an emergency extension to his term

[K Gardner]

48. I think several of us have predicted something calamatous.. could it be Pakistan?

[Le Taz Hot]

49. I predicted Lieberman would come in

3rd in the last election. I learned my lesson. ;-)

[LanternWaste]

50. All other things being equal...

All other things being equal...

Sen. Clinton beats Huckabee by 22% of the popular vote and 15% of the electoral vote. Senate goes back to GOP control by a one to two vote margin, while the Democrats increase control in the House by picking up a net total of seven additional seats.

Consumer confidence is restored to the pre-Bush era following Sen. Clinton's win allowing what's about to become a recession to rebound to higher than expected GDP by the end of '08.

U.S. troops are removed (for the most part) from Iraq, replaced by a multi-national U.N. Peacekeeping force financed by the U.S. (we broke it, we pay for it and all that).

Immigration of brown-skinned people (and only brown-skinned people) becomes the GOP's last remaining hope of continuing the divisiveness of the American people (suckering in even a few progressives), and gets put under even more scrutiny as the year passes. But nothing happens, of course-- why would they want to lose the last talking-point they have?

Talk radio finally gets exposed for the waste of time it really is and it's adherents pick up a book for once (o-k... that was less a prognostication and more a wish on my part...)

[alfredo]

53. the GOP has more seats up for election in 2008. I don't see them

regaining control of the Senate. I think there will be modest gains in the senate, and better gains in the house.

Hillary got a boost today, so did McCain. I think Hillary will be better at capitalizing on that gain. I don't know if either will win their nod.