Let me put on my tin foil hat first. I have no inside knowledge, no sources, just my own peabrain and what passes for logic, oh and yes, my "political experience" none of it, of course, professional. But then, if Miss Marple could find the bad guy every time, why not me. But, I want to be very clear: this is just my imagination/intuition.
I believe that the Bush administration has known for years just exactly where Bin Laden, or if he is dead as he may well be, where the remnants of his organization are. And I believe that Bush has waited and watched and played a cat and mouse game with Bin Laden's organization and more important us, THE AMERICAN PEOPLE all this time.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x2889551beFolks, politics is not about current events; it is the art of storytelling. It isn't just about what happens, it's also how you talk about what happens. It is about form. It's like writing a play, composing a symphony, designing a painting. There must be balance, timing and a strong, gripping beginning. There must be crises. Themes must be developed carefully, characters introduced and explored. Suspense must build as the story develops. We must weep and laugh for the heroes, hiss and shake our fists at the villains.
As the curtain falls, as we begin the last chapters of Bush's reign, just watch. I suspect that his plan for ensuring a Republican victory in the fall is to pull a deus ex machina and capture/kill the great villain of his story: Bin Laden. It's all a matter of playing out the details now. Grab your popcorn. Put on your slippers. Find a comfortable seat. Watch the show. There will be fireworks -- just in time for the November election.
Of course, if we can predict based on Bush's past attempts at drama, it will probably be a huge dud. It just isn't in Bush to succeed at anything. He is bound to flub this too. Instead of great heroics and a happy ending, we will discover that we have been watching a tragi-comedy all along. Most likely, in the end, the entire stage will fall on Bush and with it the reputation of our military and our political way of life. Storytelling is an art, and Bush has not mastered it.