New National Poll out today. Hillary has to be in full tilt panic...

[illinoisprogressive]

Poll Shows Close 2008 Races
A new American Research Group survey of likely primary voters or caucus goers across the nation shows the Democratic and Republican races closer than all voter surveys indicate.

Among Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton is at 34%, Sen. Barak Obama is at 31% and John Edwards is at 15%.

Among Republicans, Rudy Giuliani is at 34%, John McCain is at 30% and Newt Gingrich at 12%.

[LSparkle]

1. O-ba-ma! O-ba-ma!

Sorry, Mama, I'm for Obama!

[aquart]

2. Why would anyone panic at early polls?

Please.

[AlCzervik]

4. no kidding.

[WI_DEM]

3. Go Newt!!!

[lutefisk]

5. I think she's riding on the tail of her name recognition

The corporate media has force-fed the idea of Clinton as the front runner for quite a while now. The more she and the other candidates get out there and are heard, the more she will fade, imho. I don't want to bash the Clinton campaign, but I just don't see the magic. :yoiks: :hide:

[Samantha]

6. and Amazingly but Wonderful, Al Gore is polling second in MD

He's running only 7 percent behind Obama. Isn't that amazing for a candidate who "has no plans" to run? Hillary is in the distance.... Not a good showing for a candidate from New York peddling her political position in a state partially inside the Beltway. She's being outdistanced by the Guy from Tennessee (the Man Who Should Be President) and the other Guy from Illinois. Tennessee and Illinois are both outside-the-Beltway states.

I have no link, but I received the results of the poll via email through my regular political updates. Unfortunately, I read it too late to go online and cast my own vote for Gore.

I think the numbers you post are interesting and not really too encouraging for any Republican or Democrat, except perhaps Obama, whose tracking record in these polls shows a continual increase.

Obama would make the perfect #2 guy for Al Gore. A Gore/Obama ticket could sew up the Oval House for the next 16 years. Additionally, it would present a united "anti-war" face for the Democratic party.

Go Al. Go Obama. Go for it.

[papau]

7. Interesting - the ARG poll is very different than others done at the same time - I

wonder why.

.
American Research Group poll. March 2-5, 2007. N=600 likely Democratic primary and caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.
.
Preference for Democratic Presidential Nominee:
.
%
Hillary Clinton 34
Barack Obama 31
John Edwards 15

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). March 2-5, 2007. Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would vote in a Democratic presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,007 adults nationwide).
.
"Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote . . . ?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"
.
3/2-5/07 12/8-11/06
% %
Hillary Clinton 40 37
Barack Obama 28 18
John Edwards 15 14
.
"If the choice for the Democratic nomination came down to Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"
.
Hillary
Clinton Barack
Obama Neither/
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % %
3/2-5/07 47 39 4 10


USA Today/Gallup Poll. March 2-4, 2007. N=482 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated
.
3/2-4/07 2/9-11/07 1/12-14/07 12/11-14/06 11/9-12/06
% % % % %
Hillary Rodham Clinton
Barack Obama
Al Gore
John Edwards 9 13 13 8 10
.
"Suppose the choice for the Democratic presidential nomination narrows down to Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama. Which one would you prefer the Democratic Party nominate for president: Hillary Rodham Clinton or Barack Obama?" Names rotated
.
Clinton Obama Unsure
% % %
3/2-4/07 56 36 8
2/9-11/07 62 33 5
1/12-14/07 53 39 8


Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Feb. 28-March 1, 2007. N=1,202 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered Democrats and Democratic leaners.
.
"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice between . Who would you MOST like to see nominated?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward ?"
.
Hillary
Clinton Barack
Obama Unsure
% % %
2/28 - 3/1/07
1/24-25/07
.

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 27-28, 2007. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Democratic voters (MoE ± 5).
.
"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were ?" Names rotated
.
2/27-28/07 1/30-31/07
% %
Hillary Clinton 34 43
Barack Obama 23 15
Al Gore 14 11
John Edwards 12 12

.
"Now I'm going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Democratic Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely to vote for. . . ." Names rotated
Time Poll .
2/23-26/07 1/22-23/07
% %
Hillary Rodham Clinton 36 40
Barack Obama 24 21
Al Gore 13 9
John Edwards 11 11
"What if your choices for the Democratic nomination were just Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama and John Edwards, which one would you vote for if you had to decide today?" Names rotated
.
%
Hillary Rodham Clinton 42
Barack Obama 30


ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 22-25, 2007. N=1,082 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS. Results below are among leaned Democrats.
.
"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were , for whom would you vote?" Names rotated
2/22-25/07
%
Hillary Clinton 43
Barack Obama 27
John Edwards 14

Zogby America Poll. Feb. 22-24, 2007. N=439 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.8.
.
"If the Democratic primary for president were held today, for whom would you vote: ?"
.
2/22-24/07 1/5-9/07 12/6-8/05
% % %
Hillary Clinton
Barack Obama 25 14 7
John Edwards

[Bluebear]

8. Full tilt panic that she is leading in this poll?