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Edited on Tue Mar-13-07 12:32 AM by Old Crusoe
and he's on at least '4' already. If McCain can't knock out opponents in the first 3 rounds, he ain't gettin' up this late in the match. Unlike the others, he's been at this since 2000. He looked pretty good there in the early going but these days there's a sluggishness in his feet.
Romney is a former moderate who's now an ultra-conservative, the son of a failed Republican presidential aspirant, matinee idol handsome yet eerily creepy, like a film extra from one of the DAWN OF THE DEAD remakes. If Republican voters don't like Democrats from Massachusetts they aren't going to like Republicans from Massachusetts all that much better.
Giuliani is mobster-like, thuggish, rough-hewn street bully in a suit. And not terribly bright. How bright can you be said to be when one of your best pals is Bernie Kerik? Giuliani is bad news on two feet with half the brains of a block of cement. Twice-divorced New York City "moderate" just won't play to a lot of far-right fundie nutbag GOP primary voters, of which there are way more than Rudy can capture to win the nomination.
Tommy Thompson? Outside chance at the veep slot if Wisconsin is as purple as I think it may be.
Fred Thompson? Remains to be seen if he runs at all, although he's a lot smarter than the average Republican. He's not a gifted actor but he seems at least like a grown-up after 6-8 years of little Dubya. And he's tall with a soothing deep-timbred Southern accent. By virtue of not being any of the others, I'd call him the frontrunner.
Hagel is wildly unpopular with conservatives because they accuse him of abandoning Bush's war, nevermind that the war is a complete disaster that has divided our citizenry against each other while it's blown most of Baghdad to smithereens. Hagel bought the farm with these ultra-conservative types, and they're the ones who write checks to candidates. He could jump in as an independent and get farther than he would as a Republican. If Bloomberg agreed to run as his veep, it would be an electoral magnet for some independents and some (not all) of the Danforth faction of the GOP voting block. But it's a smaller block than ever before, so I'd only give them a Bull Moose share of the total Nov. 08 vote, enough to deny the Republican ticket victory but not as much as Perot got his first time out.
Brownback, in a crowded field of weak and compromised and downright psychotic candidates, might slip through in Iowa. I think Giuliani opts out of Iowa, leaving McCain, Romney, maybe Hagel and the Thompson twins. Brownback's constituency would be similar but stronger than Pat Robertson's demographic the time Robertson placed a startling 2nd in the Iowa caucus. Brownback appears sane, even though he clearly isn't, and might draw an even greater result. I think Brownback wins Iowa, but I just don't know where he goes from there. He'll be crushed in New Hampshire the following week.
Brownback as first headliner out of Iowa, then Fred Thompson down the stretch, and the Democratic ticket whips the whole GOP field in the general.
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