I am still worried about Pennsylvania

[UndertheOcean]

RCP had it dark blue , but now its only light blue.

[oldgrowth]

1. Take look at 538 3am update!!!Link

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

[UndertheOcean]

3. Thanks !

[rpannier]

2. Here

10 combined polls.

Obama by 9 and over 52%

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

on edit:
He handily won the Weekly Reader Poll (10%) and that poll has been correct in every election except for 92

[charlie]

4. Even RCP's 7.3 pt spread

is a hell of a deficit to have to overcome in 1 day. Obama's still looking good there.

[breadandwine]

5. There's a reason PA is turning light blue.

The GOP is running ads in PA saying Obama plans to bankrupt the coal industry. We're seeing last minute smears and we will be seeing similar last minute smears in other states too. Thinking people will find it hard to believe all this stuff, but thinking people are not the morons who haven't made up their minds by now. Any idiot who has watched this election for 2 years and still can't make up his mind is ripe for such influence. The GOP keeps upping the ante with new attacks and it's hard to keep up. So Obama is falling in PA and apparently in some other battleground states.

Add onto this the purging, caging, electronic vote switching on individual vote machines, server "errors" and the basic raising of doubts about Obama of all kinds, and the fact that McCain has been hoarding cash for this home stretch push, with big spending on ads like one dredging up again the whole Rev. Wright controversy, and you have the potential for a political reversal in McCain's favor.

McCain and his allies saved cash so they could "pull a fast one" in the final days of the campaign when there isn't time to rebut everything and it's working.

In order to create more holes in the dam than McCain has fingers, Obama spread himself thin, building small leads in many key states. But if you are spread thin, it only takes a little smear, a little last minute fear peddling, to flip all those states for McCain. That's the problem. And there have been reports that in these final days McCain's hoarded cash is actually outspending Obama's which means that McCain has the ad money to overwhelm Obama and get away with murder.

Then there's the fact that the oil industry has suddenly lowered gas prices, just a few days before the election. The financial crisis is over, why, you know what, come to think of it, as a matter of fact!

Throw into the mix the basic conservatism of many Americans and we could have millions waking up on Tuesday and saying to themselves, "What was I THINKING?" and going out to vote for McCain. McCain has stoked the racial fears obsessively and we already see that vile hysteria at his and Palin's rallies. "What was I THINKING?" is the big danger on Election Day.

[pimpbot]

6. Wow

Maybe Axelrod should step down and you should start running the campaign. I see the armchair strategy gurus are going to be out in full effect until we win this thing tomorrow.

[breadandwine]

7. Pimpbot, I have been involved in Democratic Party campaigns for 40 years.

I've had everything from local staff positions to helping craft successful strategy that pulled off miracles in some races.

How old are YOU?

[Oregone]

8. If you look at it from a tactics perspective (if true)....

McCain gave up 5+ leaning states on RCP to Obama to turn Penn light blue in the last 2 weeks. The doesn't seem like a decent trade off.