Franken's Good Day Shifts Odds on Recount

[babsbunny]

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/12/frankens-good-day-shifts-odds-on.html

Since our post earlier this afternoon suggesting that Norm Coleman was the slight favorite to win the recount, Al Franken has gotten three pieces of good news which cloud the picture and may tilt the probabilities in his favor.

The first is that, according to TPM's Eric Kleefeld, the Franken campaign estimated that it was just 50 ballots behind as of this morning, assuming that all challenges will be rejected. This standard is different from the one the Secretary of State uses, as the Secretary of State treats all challenged ballots as nonvotes until they are addressed by the Canvassing Board, effectively allowing either campaign to deduct votes from the opponent's total by challenging legal ballots. However, since the vast majority of such challenges will be rejected, the Franken campaign's standard is probably more reasonable.

[sabbat hunter]

1. from the

official count at the SoS website

RECOUNT Number of Ballots for Coleman (as recounted) 1119878 41.38
RECOUNT Number of Ballots for Franken (as recounted) 1122413 41.47

[sonias]

2. I hope this good news shift holds for Al

Go Al go!


Sonia

[tbyg52]

3. Please, please, please! I'll never ask for anything else! ;-> nt

[deaniac21]

4. I'm still worried about frankenfoods.

[demwing]

5. The Minnesota SoS Recount Page

http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/SenateRecount.asp

[New Dawn]

6. K&R

[pacalo]

7. Never mind.