...practice in great detail:
<snip>
U.S. Mortgage Crisis Can Trigger Collapse Of theGlobal Casino
by Richard Freeman
The accelerating meltdown of the $1.2 trillion U.S. subprime mortgage market has
triggered the loss of over a half-trillion dollars on world stock markets in the
first two weeks of March; obliterated New Century Financial, the second-largest
subprime mortgage lender; paralyzed the market for mortgage derivatives, threatening
the $600 trillion world derivatives market; caused tens of billions of dollars
of losses on hedge and mutual funds; and spread contagion to Alt-A and primegrade
mortgages, which will disintegrate the $10.2 trillion U.S. mortgage market,
itself one-quarter of all U.S. credit outstanding.
The way in which this meltdown—combined with the unwinding of the yen
carry trade—is now occurring, makes it manifestly clear that this disintegration
was not “pre-discounted” by any market forces nor any government action. Lyndon
LaRouche was the only economist who foresaw it. And therefore, no market or
market “players” or regulators will be able to stop this financial disintegration from
accelerating into systemic breakdown.
As recently as three months ago, a mortgage collapse was not a “systemic
collapse risk” in anyone’s assessment except LaRouche’s—nor did any authority
foresee or even admit as possible, the unwinding of the yen carry trade now underway.
The “experts” thought that “plentiful international liquidity” would soak
up losses in mortgage-backed securities as foreclosures mounted—but instead,
securitization of mortgages has collapsed more than 60%. They were sure the banks
could force the mortgage lenders to take the defaulting loans back; but instead, 38
of these lenders have folded up, and more of the biggest are at the brink of folding
now (see box, p. 8). They thought the hedge funds and equity funds would come
in and buy up this “distressed debt”; but instead, liquidity in these markets has disappeared.
<more>
http://www.larouchepub.com/eiw/public/2007/2007_10-19/2007-12/pdf/04-12_712_feat.pdf