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I disagree with a lot of people, but the housing price crash is a GOOD thing.
All markets are subject to "bubbles". ALL. It has happened in everything from coffee to oil to sugar to tulip bulbs and to houses.
We had a perfect storm condition of low rates, loose money, and a raging bull market wherein participants (as usual in a bull market) embrace the greater fool theory instead of economic prudence. Iow, "no price is too high, if somebody will pay more for when you want to sell".
Housing prices were unsustainable - as a percentage of income (gross or disposable), and in relation to most other metrics.
I have been patiently waiting for the local market to get "reasonable" and it has. I am closing on a house right now. I did some research and the sellers bought it for 100k more than they are selling to me, a scant 2 years ago. Oops. That sucks, but if prices had stabilized or kept going up, that would be a MUCH worse situation for the country as a whole, not to mention prospective home BUYERS.
The housing bubble NEEDED to pop, and like ALL commodities the best cure for low prices - is low prices. It always works that way, and always will.
Prices also ARE a lot lower - gas is lower, many staples are lower. Recall not too long ago that rice was in a huge bubble. Not any more. It's gone WAY down in price. Local teriyaki joints were having to raise their prices, not because of the chicken, but because of the rice.
I can buy gas for less, I can buy staples for less, and even mortgages - i just locked in a 30 yr under 4.7%.
This isn't about "yay me!". It's saying that many people are hurting very badly, but the correction (which aint over yet in many markets) in all sorts of markets - from oil to corn to housing is making these things more affordable. Corn futures were in the 3.50's today iirc which is down a dollar from where they were not too long ago. Crude and heating oil are WAY down (crude is down way over 100 per barrel).
Also, as demand for houses dried up, we saw prices in lumber and other substrates dropping as well. When these get cheaper, it makes houses cheaper to build, which adds incentive for supply adds when demand meets supply on the upside.
The jobs market is proper fucked as we say. Many other aspects of economy are screwed as well. But lower prices are a feature, not a bug, of the recession.
People who used their home equity as an ATM are also proper fucked, but that is simply imprudent financing, especially at the tail end of a tired bull market. Ask any trader. Leverage can kill ya.
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