U.S. Senate races 2008: Rove's take

[cali]

as presented in GSA meetings- and my take.

Rove plans to target the following states:Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, Montana, New Jersey, and South Dakota. In Iowa Harkin is running again. The repukes always want to take him out and they always fail. It's true that his approval within the state isn't that much above 50%, but this is a fools errand. Harkin will be re-elected.

Louisiana: It does seem that this seat is vulnerable. It depends who the pukes run, and what the climate is a year and a half from now.

Montana: Max Baucus has high approval ratings in the state. I don't know who the pukes plan to run against him, but it better be someone who's never said a good word about bush or been within ten yards of him.

Arkansas: Pryor didn't exactly win by a landslide in the last election, and he faced the ethically challenged Hutchinson, but his approval ratings are solidly over 50% and there isn't, to my knowledge, a leading repuke contender.

New Jersey: The repukes always hold out hope for NJ- and those hopes are almost invariably dashed on the rocks of of dislike for the repuke brand in that state. Good luck with this one, kkkarl.

South Dakota: I don't have a clue. Yes, it's considered a vulnerable seat, but I think that if Tim Johnson makes a good recovery, he stands a very good chance of retaining the seat. On the other hand, he may not run due to health reasons. Maybe Stephanie Herseth would run. That would, unfortunately, open up her House seat.

Any input from DUers from these states or more familiar with their politics, would certainly be appreciated.

Coming soon: The seats kkkarl fears losing

[DemKR]

1. I think we will retain all of those

LA-Sen will be the hardest, but ultimately I think Mary Landrieu will win re-election. Pryor is unbeatable in Arkansas, I am fully convinced unless Mike Huckabee chooses to run. However, in 2002, Pryor got 1% more of the vote than Huckabee in a Republican year. So we can hold out hope.

[cali]

2. That's not far from what I think.

I do wonder, though, about S. Dakota, but I have great optimism about our chances in the Senate in 2008. I think it's probable that we'll pick up 3-6 seats. I'd love to see a Senate with 56 or 57 dems, and a paltry 43 or 44 repukes. Still not filibuster proof, but man, would that help.

[madinmaryland]

3. Don't forget Connecticut in '08.

If the Dems pick up any more a seat or two, look for Lieberman to flip over to and caucus with the Repubs.

[monarch]

4. Dodd's term runs until 2010 n/t

[Democrat 4 Ever]

6. There is actually real scuttlebutt around Kentucky that Mean Mitch

McConnell is vulnerable. Not sure who will be running against him but Chucklenuts and the GOPs approval has dropped so low in the state even the meanest, dumbest, most corrupt asswipe in the Senate will have a battle on his hands for the first time since unseating Dee Huddleston. Of course, that is being said without the advantage of knowing what hate and lies Mean Mitch will dredge up about his opponent in time for the election. He perfected the campaign style of smear and destroy - KKKarl could be his evil twin.

From my keyboard to God's ears, Mean Mitch needs to be cast out from the Senate and sent to a lobbying firm on K Street as soon as possible.

[NewJeffCT]

5. He'd lose all his power if we picked up more than 1 seat & then became Republic

and, with Republics having to defend 20+ seats, and Dems only 11 or 12, it would be hard for Democrats not to pick up at least a few seats. I'm usually a pessimist, but I think it will be hard for us to pick up less than 3-4 seats in the Senate, unless something changes dramatically.

So, Lieberman can caucus with the Dems & continue as chairman of Homeland Security, or he can caucus with Republics and make it 53-47 instead of 54-46.

[cali]

8. No way.

And join a diminished minority? Lieberman's ego wouldn't stand for that for a minute, and what could the pukes offer him? Zilch. That's what.

[w4rma]

7. With a good candidate at the top (not Hillary) Dems can easily pick up a bunch of seats.

And defend every single seat just as easily.

[blondie58]

9. I think the Dems will retain the seats IF-

the elections are honest. I don't trust this crime group.