Swine flu deaths ebb, but could come back strong

[Mari333]

2 hours ago


The WHO has decided not to raise its alert to a full pandemic, since the virus has yet to cause sustained transmission outside North America. But Ryan warned against complacency.

"These viruses mutate, these viruses changes, these viruses can further reassort with other genetic material, with other viruses. So it would be imprudent at this point to take too much reassurance" from signs the virus is weaker than feared.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention also said it's too early to declare victory.

"We have seen times where things appear to be getting better and then get worse again," said Dr. Anne Schuchat, the U.S. agency's interim science and public health deputy director. "I think in Mexico we may be holding our breath for sometime."









http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gzz357patY4-QaJFvo9O95zMM_EQD97U9GU80

[hedgehog]

1. We may have a better idea by the end of the week. The government

encouraged all the businesses in Mexico City to shut down for a long holiday until May 6. It seemed like a good idea at the time, but I think everyone who could left the city for the long week-end. It's a perfect example of can't win for losing!

[Buzz Clik]

2. "But Ryan warned against complacency." What the fuck are we supposed to do? Panic? Crap ourselves?

What a tool.

[MercutioATC]

4. Ever hear of just staying informed?

Why is it that so many people here have only two modes, "Ignore" and "Panic"?

[Buzz Clik]

5. I can stay incredibly informed and be totally complacent., which is exaclty where I am now.

[MercutioATC]

6. I believe THIS is the definition of "complacency" that he's warning against:

com⋅pla⋅cent
   /kəmˈpleɪsənt/ Show Spelled Pronunciation Show IPA
–adjective
1. pleased, esp. with oneself or one's merits, advantages, situation, etc., often without awareness of some potential danger or defect; self-satisfied: The voters are too complacent to change the government.

[Mojorabbit]

3. These guys have a model of spread

for a worst case scenario of this bug.
http://current.com/items/90011536_computer-simulation-of-swine-flu-infection-rate.htm

Bloomberg has a good article out today too
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ab1UPXgmE538&refer=worldwide