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Regarding the economy and "stagflation".

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PM Martin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 06:41 PM
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Regarding the economy and "stagflation".
Stagflation is when the economy is growing at a lethargic pace/contracting, yet there is a high level of inflation (examples): Growth 2.5% / Inflation 10.0% -or- Growth -1.5% / Inflation 6.0%

What happens if there is (examples) strong growth: 4.5% / Inflation 5.5%? What would this be considered?
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PM Martin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 06:47 PM
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1. kick
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billyoc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 06:49 PM
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2. Normal inflation, I believe.
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PM Martin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 06:52 PM
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3. Even if inflation slightly outpaces the rate of growth, that is
generally not a problem then?
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Doctor Cynic Donating Member (965 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 06:52 PM
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4. GDP growth is always adjusted for inflation, so the above example is an inflationary boom.
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ProfessorGAC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 08:16 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Nominal GDP Growth Is Not Adjusted
Real GDP growth is, as you said. It's adjusted to a fixed, agreed upon value of the currency at some set year. For instance through the 90's, 1986 was used. But, nominal GDP growth is just determined by year over year.
GAC
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 06:55 PM
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5. I would call that relative stagflation or excess inflation . Such a situation should be...
correctable through monetary policy though, as it requires only a minor change to bring inflation under growth.
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PM Martin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 08:08 PM
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6. kick
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ProfessorGAC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 08:14 PM
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7. Just Normal Inflation
Also, many economists don't use the stagflation term with regard to inflation, but to the combination of monetary value deflation and poor growth rate.

So, it's really a matter of opinion, but the conventional thought is that any dimunition of buying power during a period of poor growth is stagflation.

I would surmise that your other scenario is just an inflationary recession, which most of them are.
GAC
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roamer65 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-03-09 08:28 PM
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9. We're in "stagflation" as we speak. The inflation figures are "fudged".
Edited on Sun May-03-09 08:33 PM by roamer65
Go to www.shadowstats.com and look at the "Annual Consumer Inflation" graph.

Inflation is running around 8% currently. This is by the same measurement used in 1980.
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PM Martin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-04-09 07:01 PM
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10. kick
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