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of the con in this case dates to or pre-dates Melville, but will hunt around to see what the web has to say.
I love your context with the Bush administration. Melville had the privilege, whether he knew it then or not, to be a contemporary during Lincoln's time -- Lincoln being the only good Republican! -- while these days we're stuck with Dubya and Dick and Condi -- that bunch. (Maybe Melville wouldn't mind if CONdi became the new reference point for 'con' ...)
From Lincoln to George W. Bush is a precipitous plunge, isn't it? Dizzying and despairing. George Will -- a man I usually can't stand -- made a comparison once between Lincoln and the first George Bush, something to the effect that it is a sad collapse of a once-great political party to have begun so well and ended so poorly. Paraphrased, it went something like "...to be here with this president having begun with Abraham Lincoln, one is reminded that no matter how muddy the stream is at present it is one which nevertheless had snow at its source."
I hope your library gets off its hindend and fetches that Melville for you with dispatch.
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