Surge in US Casualties Predicted in Afghanistan (300-500 per Month)

[tekisui]

Source: Army Times

Americans should prepare to accept hundreds of U.S. casualties each month in Afghanistan during spring offensives with enemy forces.

The dire forecast was made by retired Gen. Barry McCaffrey, an adjunct professor of international affairs at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, in a periodic assessment of political and security issues he has conducted in the war zone since 2003.

“What I want to do is signal that this thing is going to be $5 billion to $10 billion a month and 300 to 500 killed and wounded a month by next summer. That’s what we probably should expect. And that’s light casualties,” said McCaffrey, who is also president of his own consulting firm in Arlington, Va., and has conducted numerous trips to the war zones to assess the political and military challenges at hand.

As of Dec. 20, there had been 305 U.S. troops killed in Afghanistan in 2009, the large majority of those due to hostile action. The number of wounded as of the same date for 2009 was 2,102, with more than half of those unable to return to duty.

A month-by-month breakdown using data compiled by Army Times shows that in 2009, the highest number of wounded and dead in Afghanistan occurred from June, with 210 wounded and killed through October, when 318 were listed as wounded or killed.

October was the deadliest month for U.S. troops, with 50 killed in hostile action; but September saw the most wounded with 457 taken out of the fight.

McCaffrey predicts those numbers will go higher, up to 500 casualties per month, as the winter thaw permits enemy and coalition forces to launch their respective offensives.

more: http://www.armytimes.com/news/2010/01/army_casualties_010410w/

[cliffordu]

1. I think McCaffery is full o' crap on this.

MAYBE double what we have now.

[tekisui]

2. He did say killed OR wounded.

I don't think he will be too far off if all are included. I can't see 500 killed a month. God, I hope he is wrong.

[Soylent Brice]

4. here's to hoping.

[cliffordu]

6. Ah. Add wounded in and I think he's close.

It could get really ugly.

[Soylent Brice]

3. you may be right, but even that is unacceptable.

[thunder rising]

5. That would make it 410 to 636 ... is that better?

[cliffordu]

7. No, it's not better.

And why would I have to explain that?

[asjr]

8. Even one death makes our being there

not worth it.

[T Wolf]

9. Even NO (US) deaths makes our being there not worth it. AND our being there is WRONG by

whatever criteria you want to use. We are killing who-knows-how-many civilians every day, but I guess, to some, they do not count.

[L0oniX]

10. Kinda like 1 jet underware bomber a month ..huh

[tekisui]

11. Americans in uniforms don't count, silly.

:banghead:

[asjr]

14. I can't count the times I have

tried to kill that bug and every time I miss.

[L0oniX]

15. You need this...

http://www.aragonproducts.com/products/lice1%2Ejpg

[xiamiam]

12. this was my first thought upon waking this am..and why?..just why?

so many young people wounded physically and emotionally...to fight terror?..this enrages me..the terrorists are on wall street and lobbying..and stealing oil from other countries...MARCH 20...GET THE HELL OUT OF AFGHANISTAN NOW

[n2doc]

13. Which makes the 100 Al Q fighters in Afghanistan the most effective ones in history

Talk about force multipliers...