Democrats would gain 10 Senate seats by eliminating the filibuster by: Chris Bowers
Wed Jan 06, 2010 at 20:00
A tweet spreading around the twitterverse today:
BREAKING: Democrats Hoping To Take Control Of Congress From Republican Minority In 2010 #p2 #tcot
The Onion tweeted that back in September, and it remains funny because it remains true. With the 60-vote culture of the Senate, Democrats did not actually take control of the chamber until September 25th, when Robert Byrd was released from the hospital and Paul Kirk was sworn in. September 25th was the first day when Democrats had 60 functioning members of their Senate caucus.
The chances of Democrats maintaining 60 members of their caucus after 2010 are virtually zero. Democrats are defending seven of the ten Senate seats where the incumbent party is either losing or tied, and are defending all three of the Senate seats (Colorado, Nevada and North Dakota) where the incumbent party is facing near-certain defeat. To maintain 60, Democrats need to win all seven of the following "toss-up" campaigns: Arkansas, Delaware, Illinois, Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio and Pennsylvania. That is a very, very tall order.
Still, there is a simple way that Democrats could net ten Senate seats right now, which would all but guarantee that Democrats actually have a stronger Senate majority in 2011 than they had in 2009: eliminate the filibuster. If only 50 votes plus Vice President Biden are required to pass legislation in the Senate, then even the (currently realistic) worst-case scenario of a 53-47 Democratic majority in 2011 is three seats better than the current 60-40 majority. ........(more)
The complete piece is at:
http://www.openleft.com/diary/16820/democrats-would-gain-10-senate-seats-by-eliminating-the-filibuster