http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/1/11/823813/-Dionne:-Antitrust-amendment-may-be-in-final-billE.J. Dionne, the Washington Post columnist has been talking with administration staff, senate staff, congressmen and lobbyists for the various industries.
He comes out of it with news that several different types of compromises are afoot and most of them are pretty good.
The first involves the excise tax, which I believe is needed for the final bill, others may disagree, but labor is willing to compromise on it. The current amount is set for 23,000 and labor estimates that would impact 1 in 4 families. I'm not sure on those estimates. People have stated it was lower, but labor also estimates that if raised to 28,000, it would effect 1 in every 14 families, that number seems a bit high, but that's still substantially better.
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The second compromise has to do with the medicaid debacle that was started by Sen. Nelson. Right now, he gets his funding entirely paid for in the Senate health bill. Obviously, other states have balked at that. The compromise involves better medicaid funding for ALL states.
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The final compromise will deal with the insurance industries and the progressive organizations. The thinking is that because the public option was killed the sides will be more willing to compromise but with Nelson and Lieberman taking strong stances throughout the debate (to their detriment in the polling), it's unpredictable. But there's the possibility that the antitrust amendment would be included in the bill along with the national exchange and the healthcare companies would be legally binded to maintain their 1.5-2% savings that they agreed at the WH or 2 trillion dollars in savings.
This is definitely encouraging. Bringing back the repeal of the insurance antitrust exemption would definitely be a good thing, and raising the threshold on the Cadillac Tax may make it more palatable.