latest poll Coakley 49 Brown 41 - Rasmussen walking back from Brown victory.

[grantcart]

Yesterday saw Rasmussen walking away from talk of a Brown victory on Fox News basically saying that while it was theoretically possible it could only happen if Democrats didn't show up, that Brown was stuck in the 40's and Coakley was right at 49. The Poll from BMG seems to confirm it.

http://www.bluemassgroup.com/diary/18361/exclusive-bmgresearch-2000-poll-coakley-leads-4941

The results are in from BMG's exclusive statewide poll in next week's special Senate election. Research 2000 interviewed 500 likely voters on Tuesday and Wednesday (and we do mean "interviewed" -- Research 2000 does live interviews, unlike robo-pollsters Rasmussen and PPP). That means that our poll is the first (and so far only) one taken entirely after Monday's final televised debate. Here's what they came up with (margin of error is +/- 4%).


QUESTION: If the 2010 special election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you vote for Martha Coakley, the Democrat, Scott Brown, the Republican, or Joseph Kennedy, the Libertarian candidate?
ALL DEM REP IND
Martha Coakley 49% 82% 7% 36%
Scott Brown 41% 12% 85% 49%
Joseph Kennedy 5% 1% 2% 11%
Undecided 5% 5% 6% 4%

[Beetwasher]

1. Thank Goodness, Seems The Cavalry Arrived Just In Time

I hope it's not even close.

[leftynyc]

2. Good news

Now the Democrats just have to get to the polls.

[tekisui]

3. Good!

[RDANGELO]

4. and if it's a Rasmussen poll, ad about 3% to the Dem.

They always seem to underestimate the Dems and overestimate the Repubs.

[tritsofme]

13. Except when compared to actual election results.

They are about as good as it gets.

[onehandle]

5. Duh. That was never going to happen.

I didn't believe it for a minute.

[gateley]

6. Good news! Thanks! nt

[Tippy]

7. Rasmussen plays all the angles.

If it's a close race..on more than one occasion I've noticed how he will push the numbers up as in a spike for Coakley thus telling the voters...you can stay home, no need to put yourself out by going to the polls. We all know a Special election such as this turn out is usually low.

[grantcart]

12. yep

[grantcart]

8. kick

[malaise]

9. Brown does not have a fugging chance

Ignore the hacks in the media and the ReTHUGspinners.

[MidwestTransplant]

10. He does if people don't show up. Plus the more the Thugs count on a victory and then lose, the more

deflated they will be.

[grantcart]

11. ..

[Betty Karlson]

14. I hate to spoil the party,

but pollster Paleologos came up with these figures:

Brown 50 %
Coakley 46 %
Kennedy 3 %
Undecided 1 %

I keep being worried that Coakley is about to be 'Gored' or 'Kerry'd': a few polls that keep issuing the message that she will lose, and then a narrow and prefabricated win for Brown on election day.

[rucky]

15. Pardon my ignorance, but who is Joseph Kennedy?

Is he mishpacah? He seems to be peeling off votes from Coakley and Brown.

[mmonk]

16. Thank god.

[spanone]

17. the media hype over brown reminds me of 2006 and how dems couldn't possibly win hse & senate

and we won them both

[Jennicut]

18. The polls for this race are all over the place.

At least Research 2000 does live polling. I was robo polled by Rasmussen for Blumenthal vs Rethugs in CT.

[laughingliberal]

19. +1 nt

[Betty Karlson]

20. And more bad news:

Coakley's own internal poll just showed her at 44 %, Brown at 47 %. What can we do?

[malaise]

21. Brown isn't winning shite

That is all