The Blue Mass/R 2000 poll is more recent and has a bigger sample size than the Suffolk Poll

[bluestateguy]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=389&topic_id=7466557&mesg_id=7466557

It has Coakley up 8, but take nothing for granted, of course.

[Mass]

1. All polls are irrelevant at this point. The race is very close, but pollsters have no way to know

who will go and vote, so they have to make assumptions. Both polls take huge assumptions about what the voters will be and where he lives.

Take nothing for granted. Make sure people go and vote. This is all we can do .

[Recursion]

2. Nobody knows who is actually going to vote

This is all about "likely voter" models. We'll see who's right.

[WeDidIt]

3. Nate Silver rates the race a "Toss-Up"

and if Nate Silver says it's a toss-up, it's a toss-up

[rocktivity]

6. (Pre-click prayer) Isn't he the 538 guy?

:bounce:
rocktivity

[rem3006]

4. Last night may have been fatal for Coakley

The comment she made about Catholics shouldn't work in emergency rooms was pretty bone headed. 39% of the state are Catholic and even non-practicing Catholics would be offended. By Sunday afternoon her campaign could be toast after Catholics come from church.This is like George Allen's "mecaca" remark. Meant one way but taken another.

[OHdem10]

5. Barancle just gave a report on MSNBC from rally in Mass.

The Democrats should be worried about this election. This
relatively unknown Republican may just pull this off.