Intrade: Coakley 46, Brown 56.

[cali]

http://www.intrade.com/?request_operation=main&request_type=action&checkHomePage=true

[tekisui]

1. Some peeps are going to lose money betting on Brown.

[cali]

4. I'm really hoping to see that happen.

[FrenchieCat]

2. CNN is happy too! They are asking us to bend over and take it......

just like we like it.

Thanks for the news!

Now I feel much better.

[Hello_Kitty]

3. Meh. Intrade had Obama beating Hillary the day before the NH primary.

They're not always right.

[dkf]

5. Buy at 45.5 and sell at 41.1? That is a huge spread.

[virgogal]

6. Baloney!

[Aramchek]

7. Intrade is only as smart as the gamblers who place bets

Lots of Repigs with more Dollars than Sense playing this one.

[MineralMan]

16. Intrade is also very susceptible to Freeper input.

It's a worthless measure. Tuesday's election is the only thing that matters. We're wasting our time with these prognostications. Instead, the GOTV effort is what will make the difference.

[Aramchek]

23. Exactly.

[graywarrior]

8. I call it bullshit

[Dinger]

9. In Keeping With My Positive Theme

I'll say that I respectfully believe it is incorrect. You are correct GrayWarrior.

[graywarrior]

10. They are underestimating the dems ground force in MA

We are pissed and we're voting.

[secondwind]

11. vote twice! I can't believe we could lose the most liberal Senate seat in the country

to a PINUP boy! I refuse to believe this!

[graywarrior]

14. I'm starting to think his campaign has clay feet

[peace frog]

12. So a bunch of 'pukes are betting the rent against Coakley?

SUCKERS!!!11!! I love it when wingnuts get their clocks cleaned. :rofl:

[LostInAnomie]

13. Any poll that has a double digit gap for either candidate is full of shit.

[Bitwit1234]

15. Are they copying from Fox that adds up to 102

[leftygolfer]

17. Can we open accounts or is this considered gambling?

i would take that bet (or buy shares) or whatever.

[timeforpeace]

18. She was way ahead just 4 days ago.

[catnhatnh]

19. So I went to the intrade gateway page...

and found the chart. which STARTS at Coakley 90% and Brown 10%...Meaning that when betting began Coakley was as close to a sure thing you'll ever find on a book. Now after all the publicity Coakley has dropped below 50 percent and Brown has climbed above 50%. But the result is NOT a poll-it is a book.

And a book HAS to balance the odds to cover either outcome. That's why if they start with the Baltimore Ravens at even money on Monday then as the week goes on the Ravens slowly become 7, 10, 17, 21 point favorites-because the book DON'T CARE WHO WINS OR LOSES-it just has to balance what it can afford to lose.

The fact is I'd like to see Brown a lot higher at Intrade but the current odds tell me only that with the normal last flood of betting (informed by the bullshit media of the last week) suckers are trying for a cheap win based on spin.

[galileoreloaded]

20. Now 60/35

[MineralMan]

21. Now 65/35

Absolute evidence that Freepers are bidding Brown up. Intrade is useless as a predictor of political races. Anyone can manipulate it at will.

[harkadog]

24. Really?

http://electoralmap.net/index2008.php Looks like they were only one vote off in 2008. What poll had a better record?

[MineralMan]

25. Ask me again on Wednesday morning.

[cliffordu]

22. I wouldn't trust degenerate gamblers with the

prediction.