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PPP: Brown 51, Coakley 46

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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:04 PM
Original message
PPP: Brown 51, Coakley 46
http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/01/massachusetts-senate-poll.html

--snip--

"Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 51-46 in our final Massachusetts Senate poll, an advantage that is within the margin of error for the poll.

Over the last week Brown has continued his dominance with independents and increased his ability to win over Obama voters as Coakley's favorability numbers have declined into negative territory. At the same time Democratic leaning voters have started to take more interest in the election, a trend that if it continues in the final 36 hours of the campaign could put her over the finish line."

--snip---
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Grand Taurean Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:05 PM
Response to Original message
1. Tuesday is going to be a long night.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:07 PM
Response to Original message
2. crap
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
3. Let's remember, PPP had Hoffman in the NY-23 up solidly
And we see what happened there. Just a little tidbit.
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JimRob_is_a_douche Donating Member (12 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-18-10 02:35 AM
Response to Reply #3
12. Good point!
"Public Policy Polling" had Hoffman leading "big": http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/hoffman-leads-big.html

I don't think I'd believe anything they say. Keep your hopes up!
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timeforpeace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
4. He is widening his margins.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:31 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. And...?
You said the same in the GDP post - what's your point Mr. "one line"?
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NYC_SKP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
5. Make calls for Coakley from home, even if out of state. Come on, DU!
It's kinda scary, but kinda fun too, talking to perfect strangers in other states.

I'm going to spend a couple hours tomorrow, you can too.

http://my.barackobama.com/page/votercontact/login?requested=%2Fpage%2Fvotercontact%2Fmake_calls%3Fcampaign_id%3Dfnr6

Backup link: http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/hqblog

Things to know:

rown postures like an advocate for ordinary people. But in fact he is a staunch advocate of the failed economic policies of George Bush that resulted in:

• Zero growth in private sector jobs over his 2 terms (compare that to growth of 22 million jobs over the eight years of Bill Clinton);

• Huge tax breaks for millionaires and a higher relative tax burden for the middle class;

• Zero growth in median income for ordinary working people;

• Two thirds of all the growth in Gross Domestic Product going to the top 1% of the population;

• No accountability for the Wall Street bankers whose reckless speculation plunged the economy into the worst collapse since the Great Depression.

Remember that George Bush inherited a huge budget surplus from Bill Clinton and ran up more debt than all of the previous Presidents in American history.

And now, Brown says he would oppose President Obama's proposed tax on Wall Street profits that would allow us to recover all the money from the massive taxpayers' bailout that was necessary to prevent the worldwide financial system from complete disintegration.

:patriot:
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leftygolfer Donating Member (287 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:18 PM
Response to Original message
6. As if my health weren't bad enough
Now I know I'll get no sleep tonight or tomorrow night. And probably not Tuesday night either.
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Journeyman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:34 PM
Response to Original message
8. Their final poll has a margin of error greater than 5%? . . .
Seems quite a useless poll, especially so late in the game. . .
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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:48 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. No. The margin of error is applied to both numbers.
So if a poll has a MOE of 3, that means that Coakley might be 3 points higher and Brown might be 3 points lower (or the reverse).
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Terra Alta Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:36 PM
Response to Original message
9. the only "poll" that matters
is the one taken when all the votes have come in Tuesday night. I think Coakley is going to pull it off.
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Bitwit1234 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 11:40 PM
Response to Original message
10. I for one don't believe the people of Mass are a bunch of
nincompoops. And I don't believe this new polling company. Do you think for one minute that the people who put Ted Kennedy in office for 50 years, dont' know this guy is an absolute a**hole.
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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-18-10 02:51 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. This is not a new polling company.
The firm is run by a Democratic pollster (who does not attempt to hide this). They absolutely nailed most of the swing states in 2008, and they nailed NJ and VA. They were completely off in NY-23. Criticize them all you want, but don't claim it is because it is a "new" polling company. PPP agrees with ARG, Coakley's internals from previous nights, within Rasmussen's margin of error, and others. If you want to continue to put your conspiracy theory blinders on and accuse all these pollsters of colluding be my guest.
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