Poll Shows a Tie

[dtotire]

After Blue Mass Group had Research 2000 poll the Massachusetts Senate poll last week, we had the firm follow up.

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 1/15-17 (1/12-13). Likely voters. MoE 4.5%.

Martha Coakley 48 (49)
Scott Brown 48 (41)

So yet another poll shows the trend line moving in the wrong direction -- from Coakley up by eight to a tie. She has improved her performance (slightly) among Democrats from last week's poll, but dropped among independents. (At the time of the Blue Mass Group poll, it showed Coakley performing better among independents than did other polls.)

[graywarrior]

1. I keep forgetting that the only polls that count are the candidates polls and voting day.

[Ken Burch]

2. The other poll that just came out had Brown five points up.

Isn't this actually an improvement on THAT?

[regnaD kciN]

4. No, because...

...that "other poll" went from Brown +1 to Brown +5, while this one went from Coakley +8 to a tie. Both show a big swing toward Brown in the past week.

[tblue]

3. I think she'll win and I hope this will be a wakeup call.

I hope it finally gets thru to the Dem leadership that they can no longer afford to ignore the ones they want to GOTV. Should never have been even close. They want our volunteer time and our vote, we want progressive legislation. Fingers crossed.

[treestar]

5. They are all in the margin of error

And they go both ways. IMO this kind of race can't be polled well. The Dems just need to GOTV.