Scott Rasmussen sums up the MA race rather nicely

[NJmaverick]

Where does that leave us? On Intrade, Brown begins Monday morning as the slight favorite in the race. However, nobody really knows who will win because it all comes down to turnout. Clearly, Brown has the more enthusiastic support and has run a better campaign. If turnout remains low, he is likely to win. That’s why the president went to Boston. If his appearance boosts turnout among Democrats, the Democrat will win.
That’s a long way around saying that we’re right back where we were a week ago - at the time of the last Rasmussen Reports poll. Brown is leading slightly among those certain to vote, and Coakley will do better if more Democrats show up.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_scott_rasmussen/what_will_happen_in_massachusetts_on_tuesday


Edit to add what can be done to boost that turn out

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=106x33906

[Grand Taurean]

1. Why are the last polls showing a slight move in Brown's directions then?

:wtf: is going on?

[Drunken Irishman]

4. Because there is a difference between Likely Voters and Registered Voters.

And generally, they just release the results for likely voters.

The pollster will ask you, "who do you support..." and you'll answer. Then they'll say, "are you likely to vote, not likely, not sure..." or some variant and you'll answer.

Democrats are probably answering not likely.

So they don't use their answers in the final poll if it's a poll of likely voters.

[GreenPartyVoter]

2. Sums up just about every race pretty well, I think. :^)

[Skip Intro]

7. No doubt. nt

[KingFlorez]

3. That's the best assessment

It hinges on turnout. No one is a sure bet right now.

[Ian David]

5. !!!! NEW RULE !!!!

!!!! NEW RULE !!!!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x7498975

[NJmaverick]

14. I have that rule covered

look at the bottom of my post

[Ian David]

15. Awesome! Thanks! n/t

[louis-t]

6. It's always been "the more that vote, the better Dems

do".

[Drunken Irishman]

8. It's been like that since the dawn of Man.

[robinlynne]

10. Yep.

[Cha]

9. "Better campaign"? Meaning

the repub was smooth in his lies and fauxsn00ze gave him 24/7.. and the teabaggers dropped a million online in his coffer.

[GreenTea]

11. Meaning Dems have to get out the vote - no two ways about it.

[grytpype]

12. I hope it does come down to turnout, because then we have a chance.

Maybe.

It's a shame the White House wasn't tending to this seat right from the get-go, but they have a million things on their plate and this was supposed to be a safe seat!

[HughMoran]

13. I just read that 10 minutes ago

I guess I wasn't the only one trolling Rasmussen to see if they would be putting out one more poll.

[NJmaverick]

16. Yeah was hoping for some good news

I guess this counts

[malaise]

17. Rasmussen are RETHUG hacks

Spare me.