Nate Silver gives Coakley 25% chance of victory

[Irish_shark]

SILVER: "Right now, our trusty little model of Massachusetts gives Martha Coakley just a 25 percent chance of prevailing tomorrow. Intrade also puts her odds at about 1 in 4. My subjective assessment might be a little better than that, but not much."

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/25-0.html

Let us pray.

[PM Martin]

1. unless dems come to vote.

sad.

[pnwmom]

2. Now that's depressing. n/t

[spanone]

3. who?

[Irish_shark]

7. Nate Silver

"The accuracy of his November 2008 presidential election predictions – he correctly predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states – won Silver further attention and commendation. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

In April 2009 he was named one of The World's 100 Most Influential People by TIME Magazine. http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/0,28757,1894410,00.html

[ddeclue]

4. That's about right folks - if Boston turns out in large numbers she might win..

otherwise it's game over.

[Drunken Irishman]

6. Game over, Man!

[qazplm]

18. They cut the power??!

How could they cut the power??

[Drunken Irishman]

5. So you're saying there's a chance?

[dkf]

8. I thought he called a toss up. 25% chance is not a toss up.

What's with that?

[Irish_shark]

10. Maybe he called it a toss-up 24 hours ago. He updates frequently n/t

[dkf]

14. Sigh.

[BrklynLiberal]

9. That is beyond depressing...

[tekisui]

11. Pray nothing. Get out the vote.

I just can't see it happening like that.

[leftygolfer]

12. It's a 1 in 4 shot...

I still say toss up. But even if he's right...at 1 in 4...that's not impossible by any means. we can do this. we need to do this.

[w4rma]

13. It's time to fire Rahm. He's repeating his 1994 performance. (nt)

[FreeJG]

15. Rahm runs the congressional races...not the senate it's Sen. Bob Menendez

head of the democratic senatorial campaign committee, or DSCC

[w4rma]

17. Rahm is CoS now just as he was in 1994. Fire him. (nt)

[Skittles]

16. let us pray? no, let us VOTE