Massachusetts county projections based on strength of Obama 08 win

[usregimechange]

County % won, Obama 2008:




Projections based on the above numbers (70+ Obama counties projected for Coakley, Obama wins in the 50s projected for Brown, light blue are toss ups):

(sorry too lazy to make look pretty)

Bookmark and get some :popcorn: tomorrow night.

[usregimechange]

1. Plymouth Co looks to be Brown's biggest stronghold

Clinton won by only 5% in 1992. Watch Worcester co as well, lots of folks there and likely to go to Brown.

[usregimechange]

2. Coakley was born in Pittsfield, Massachusetts in Berkshire County, Massachusetts

[PM Martin]

3. Outside of Boston, those suburbs, Plymouth, Essex, Norfork

have population. How much will Brown win those counties by?

[usregimechange]

4. Plymouth would be the redest based on the above data but I can't predict how much

[PM Martin]

5. Bristol is next to Providence.

Any chance Coakley carries it?
Nantucket should go the same way too, though there is not much population.

[usregimechange]

6. Yes, she may, I have it as a toss up. She is going to need to win some of the toss ups

[PM Martin]

7. Any idea how many will vote in Boston?

[usregimechange]

8. A lot if Coakley has a chance, southcentral Boston Black vote, women, college kids, etc

[usregimechange]

9. She needs Boston big, the west, islands and Middlesex at least

Middlesex County is where she served as DA and is the most educated in the state 43 Percent have Bachelor's Degree or Higher there.

[PM Martin]

10. Massachussetts is very diverse!

Big City: Check
Great Open West: Check
Foothills/Mountains: Check
Affluent Suburbs: Check
Working Class Cities: Check
Islands: Check LOL! It sounds like Virgin Islands!

[usregimechange]

11. I'd love to visit, never been there