25% voter turnout by 11:00AM in my precinct

[Xipe Totec]

1600 voters in my precinct. I was voter #264 at 8:00AM. My wife voted at 11:0000AM and was #472.

This is going to be a high turnout race, which is good news for us Democrats.

[tekisui]

1. Thanks for the report.

25% at 11 is very impressive for a special election.

[berni_mccoy]

4. Especially given the weather.

[Renew Deal]

5. 25% is impressive for most special elections

:shrug:

[Bombtrack]

2. why is it good news for us exactly?

[rocktivity]

6. Because the higher our turnout, the better our chances

Indeed, it's what helped us in '06 and '08.

:bounce:
rocktivity

[Bombtrack]

17. when Democrats were ahead in the polls leading up the elections not behind

[HughMoran]

8. Because the party in power tends to sit out midterm (and special) elections due to apathy

The party out of power is more motivated and they show up in greater numbers, thus low voter turnout indicates apathy in full swing. High turnout on the other hand means that the Dems and Democrat-leaning Independents are likely getting out to vote for Coakley - a good thing.

[Bombtrack]

22. Across the board high voter turnout does not automatically indicate high Democratic turnout

this is just wishful spinthking.

[KingFlorez]

28. Higher turnout typically favors Democrats

And in a state like Massachusetts, the odds of it being helpful to Democrats are more. I think it's wishful thinking to think otherwise.

[On the Road]

29. It's Not "Spinthinking"

It's been accepted political wisdom for decades.

Of course no one knows the results yet, but as far as indicators go, turnout is one of the more important ones.

[Motown_Johnny]

9. three times as many (D)s as (R)s in the state, so the assumption is...

that when everyone is turning out then it is not dominated by a "motivated opposition" vote.


But that is only a guess.

[MineralMan]

20. And about three times the number of Independants than Dems.

I wouldn't count the chickens yet. Are there any exit polls going on? That would be interesting.

I remain hopeful, but cautiously.

[Xipe Totec]

34. My precinct is heavy D

I could see all the 'D's down the page as I was getting my ballot. Didn't see a single 'R' on the page.

[LynneSin]

38. There are more registered Democrats than Republicans

If the Dems are smart they'll blanket the city of Boston - if they can get about 60% turnout for the election it will be tough for the rest of the state to make up the loss

[HughMoran]

3. Good. Thanks for the update.

I need to make sure my family in Mass has indeed voted.

[highplainsdem]

7. Good news! K&R

[kentuck]

10. 25% is a good turnout?

When the other side is motivated?

[WilliamPitt]

12. Before noon, yes

It'll go up as the day goes on. It was 10% by the end of the day during the primaries, so...

[HughMoran]

13. ..as of 11AM!!

You seem focused like a laser on seeing negative - even where none exists! :rofl:

Sorry, you deserved that ribbing.

[kentuck]

30. Ok.

I guess 25% is pretty good for this time of day? Will it need to be over 50% for Democrats to win?

[HughMoran]

31. I would say greater than 50% - yes

Uggh, & I'm trying to keep a positive attitude too. This is very stressful.

[FSogol]

24. We had a local election for State Senator on the 12th in Va and we had 19% turnout.

Luckily our guy, Dave Marsden, beat a real fanatical wingnut, Steve Hunt by 2%.

[Tailormyst]

11. I was 116 at 8:05 am

No lines, but a steady flow.

[opihimoimoi]

14. The PM Voters will tally the diff.. I hope JOE S eats SHIT

[CBR]

25. I will watch Morning Joe for the first time in months if Coakley wins...nt

[opihimoimoi]

32. me too...just to see him eat it.... :o)

[monmouth]

35. Me too. Oh joy, I cannot wait. I also watch that smarm Willie before

that and have a "What are you doing up this early in the a.m. .... Watching you and Joey eat crow...LOL.

[KingFlorez]

15. Good, it can only go up from there

That is a great early number, with lunch hour coming up, those numbers should increase greatly.

[tsuki]

16. That's great news. Here, the largest group is usually after work, from

4-7 PM. 25% before noon is huge.

[Phoebe Loosinhouse]

18. That is great! We had pathetic turnout when Deeds lost in VA

25% by 11:00 am is incredible!!

I am so looking forward to all the pundits and pollsters being WRONG WRONG WRONG!!!!

[hlthe2b]

19. Where are you? (Boston? Suburbs? elsewhere?)

[Xipe Totec]

37. Milton

Deval Patrick is my neighbor.

[FSogol]

21. Good news. n/t

[leftygolfer]

23. Coakley soaring on Intrade this morning!!!

Good job to all!

[zanana1]

26. I made calls for Coakley yesterday.....

Alot of people weren't home, but those that were all said they'd be voting for her.

[Turbineguy]

27. I run into a lot of "Independents"

These are republicans who will vote for a republican who isn't crazy, but until one comes along, vote Democratic.

[graywarrior]

33. 1250 by 9:30 AM in Topsfield-a republican town

[Xipe Totec]

36. Give them hell!

I know you can!

:evilgrin:

[graywarrior]

44. I feel as if I'm surrounded by drooling idiots stupid enough to sell themselves out.

[Broke In Jersey]

39. VERY telling sign...

Polls look wrong once again!!!!

[Arugula Latte]

43. I think it depends on which part of Mass. the OP lives in.

High turnout in Boston/Cambridge? Good.

High turnout in rural area? Not so good.

[YOY]

40. Hoping for the best.

She may not be the best we have to offer but she's better than that shitstain Brown.

[JimWis]

41. Thanks for the update.

[flamingdem]

42. go MA! nt