Poll: "In an election between Scott Brown and the public option, the public option would have won."

[Faryn Balyncd]

Interesting results from the election night polling commissioned by MoveOn, Democracy for America, & the PCCC:

Specifically, that of 18% of 2008 Obama voters who voted for Brown 82% favored a public option like Medicare, yet there was opposition to the Senate health care plan. Most of those opposed to the Senate health care plan, who voted for Brown, felt it "did not go far enough". These voters also opposed mandates by a 2:1 margin.

Complete results of the two groups - 2008 Obama voters who voted for Brown, and 2008 Obama voters who stayed home in 2010, with breakdown by gender and party affiliation are at the PCCC site below.

Not including those Obama voters who stayed home, the subgroup of 2008 Obama voters who voted for Brown accounted for approximately 10% of the 1/19 vote.

The Research 2000 Massachusetts Poll was conducted for three organizations -- the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Democracy for America, and MoveOn.org -- on Tuesday, January 19, 2010 after polls closed in the special election for Senate.

500 Obama voters who did NOT vote in the special election were asked one set of questions. 500 Obama voters who DID vote -- and voted for Republican Scott Brown -- were asked another set of questions. Each has a margin of error of 4.5%.

2774 Obama voters from 2008 who voted Tuesday were reached -- of which 2274 (82%) voted for Democrat Martha Coakley and 500 (18%) voted against her.

(Research 2000 also does polling for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, Lexington Herald-Leader, Fort Wayne News Sentinel, South Bend Tribune, and Reno Gazette-Journal, and dozens of other media outlets. They did a Virginia 2009 post-election poll of Obama voters for the PCCC, which is located here. )

Democrats Learnin the Wrong Lesson from Massachusetts?

EVEN SCOTT BROWN VOTERS WANT THE PUBLIC OPTION, WANT DEMOCRATS TO BE BOLDER



"In an election between Scott Brown and the public option, the public option would have won."
- – Charles Chamberlain, political director of Democracy for America



HEALTH CARE BILL OPPONENTS THINK IT "DOESN'T GO FAR ENOUGH" :

* by 3 to 2 among Obama voters who voted for Brown
* by 6 to 1 among Obama voters who stayed home

(18% of Obama supporters who voted supported Brown.)



VOTERS OVERWHELMINGLY SUPPORT THE PUBLIC OPTION:

* 82% of Obama voters who voted for Brown
* 86% of Obama voters who stayed home



OBAMA VOTERS WANT DEMOCRATS TO BE BOLDER:

* 57% of Brown voters say Obama "not delivering enough" on change he promised
* 49% to 37% among voters who stayed home







OBAMA VOTERS WHO VOTED BROWN:



QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose the national government offering everyone the choice of a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?


- - - - - - - - FAVOR - -OPPOSE - -NOT SURE
ALL - - - - - - 82% - - 14% - - - 4%
MEN - - - - - - 79% - - 18% - - - 3%
WOMEN - - - - 85% - - 10% - - - 5%
DEMOCRATS - - 89% - - 7% - - - 4%
REPUBLICANS - 68% - - 24% - - - 8%
INDEPENDENTS- 83% - - 13% - - - 4%




QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose the health care reform proposal recently passed by the U.S. Senate?



- - - - - - - -FAVOR - -OPPOSE - -NOT SURE
ALL - - - - - - 32% - - 48% - - - 20%
MEN - - - - - - 29% - - 52% - - - 19%
WOMEN - - - - 35% - - 44% - - - 21%
DEMOCRATS - - 42% - - 46% - - - 12%
REPUBLICANS - 11% - - 68% - - - 21%
INDEPENDENTS- 33% - - 47% - - - 20%




QUESTION: If oppose, do you think it goes too far or doesn't go far enough?


- - - - - - -NOT ENOUGH - -TOO FAR - -NOT SURE
ALL - - - - - 36% - - - - - 23% - - - - 41%
MEN - - - - - 34% - - - - - 26% - - - - 40%
WOMEN - - - - 38% - - - - - 20% - - - - 42%
DEMOCRATS - - 49% - - - - - 18% - - - - 33%
REPUBLICANS - 11% - - - - - 61% - - - - 28%
INDEPENDENTS- 38% - - - - - 20% - - - - 42%





QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose requiring all Americans to buy health insurance from private companies -- the so-called mandate -- even if they find insurance too expensive or do not want it?


- - - - - - - - FAVOR - - OPPOSE - -NOT SURE
ALL - - - - - - 30% - - - 59% - - - 11%
MEN - - - - - - 32% - - - 57% - - - 11%
WOMEN - - - - 34% - - - 53% - - - 13%
DEMOCRATS - - 38% - - - 51% - - - 11%
REPUBLICANS - 9% - - - -82% - - - 9%
INDEPENDENTS- 31% - - - 58% - - - 11%


. . . .


Complete results at:
http://act.boldprogressives.org/cms/sign/mapollresults

http://act.boldprogressives.org/cms/sign/mapollresults






:kick:







"If Barack Obama’s bill gets changed to exclude the public entities, it is not health insurance reform…it rises and falls on whether the public is allowed to choose Medicare if they’re under 65 or not. If they are allowed to choose Medicare as an option, this bill will be real health care reform...."

- Howard Dean

[tekisui]

1. knr! Interesting numbers. Wake up Democrats!

[jtrockville]

2. The people want single-payer Medicare4ALL. Why can't we have it?