CT-Gov: Dems Continue to Hold Down Lead

[ccharles000]

Quinnipiac (1/14-19, registered voters, 11/10 in parentheses):

Ned Lamont (D): 41
Michael Fedele (R): 32
Undecided: 23

Ned Lamont (D): 38
Tom Foley (R): 36
Undecided: 21

Dan Malloy (D): 37
Michael Fedele (R): 31
Undecided: 27

Dan Malloy (D): 37
Tom Foley (R): 33
Undecided: 24
(MoE: ±2.5%)

Ned Lamont (D): 27 (23)
Dan Malloy (D): 11 (9)
Jim Amman (D): 5 (3)
Mary Glassman (D): 4 (NA)
Gary LeBeau (D): 2 (2)
Rudy Marconi (D): 1 (NA)
Juan Figueroa (D): 1 (NA)
Susan Bysiewicz (D): NA (26)
Undecided: 44 (33)
(MoE: ±4.4%)

Tom Foley (R): 17
Michael Fedele (R): 8
Mark Boughton (R): 6
Larry DeNardis (R): 4
Oz Griebel (R): 2
Undecided: 59
(MoE: ±4.5%)

A whole lot of things have gotten shaken up since Quinnipiac last polled their home state's governor's race: incumbent GOPer Jodi Rell decided to retire, a herd of iffy Republicans surfaced to take her place, and just recently, presumed Democratic frontrunner SoS Susan Bysiewicz pulled her bid (most likely because Joe Lieberman presents a tastier target in 2012). The only trendlines salvageable from last time around are the Democratic primary, where there's a bit of an uptick for both Ned Lamont (who's basically left as the frontrunner now) and ex-Stamford mayor Dan Malloy, but many of the former Bysiewicz votes seem to be "undecided" for now. (Quinnipiac also looks at the AG race's primary, where Bysiewicz is whomping state Sen. George Jepsen, 62-10.) Of course, the Democratic primary voters look incredibly decisive compared with Republicans, where every candidate is struggling to get out of the single digits.

The general election matchups aren't quite as nice-looking as recent polls by PPP and R2K, where Lamont was putting up double-digit edges against all Republicans. (Quinnipiac points out the irony of how a Lamont/Foley matchup would pit two never-before-elected zillionaires from Greenwich against each other, and there seems to be some voter ambivalence about that matchup.) Still, Democrats have to be pleased that even with Bysiewicz's unexpected exit from the race that they still have the upper hand.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6259/ctgov-dems-continue-to-hold-down-lead

[sharp_stick]

1. Bysiewicz would be a great

competitor to take out holy Joe Lieberman in 2012. Since Dodd and Rell decided not to go for re-election I'm much happier with the way the future is shaping up for CT.