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I'm making this thread after reading an excellent post by Peace Patriot in the Oliver Stone thread.
Peace Patriot: The next imperial battle is very likely going to be against Venezuela--which is being set up as we speak--and I believe involves a "circle the wagons" strategy in the northern South America/Central America/Caribbean region, to gain control of all the oil in that region and to fend off the leftist/socialist democracy movement that has swept Latin America. It was creeping up through Central America, with leftist governments elected in Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala (and a leftist almost elected in Mexico a few years back). They dealt this movement a severe wound with the rightwing military coup in Honduras. Now they have death squads murdering leftists (one was found beheaded a few weeks ago) in Honduras (with only a cosmetic front of legitimate government to mask these horrors and to maintain US control of the country). But the most telling signs of an impending war are the huge US military buildup in Colombia (adjacent to Venezuela's main oil region), and the non-stop psypos/propaganda "Big Lie" campaign against Hugo Chavez and, by implication, against the people of Venezuela and Venezuela's many leftist allies in the region.
I frankly think that this is going to be the Pentagon's "Waterloo"--but we shouldn't underestimate the amount of carnage and grief that our war profiteers can inflict in losing a war--and the amount of economic and other blowback damage that the US war machine can inflict on us here.
My question is...how likely is the above scenario? Venezuela is not really a weak country, this is not Iraq we're talking about here. They have a strong leader in Hugo Chavez who has tons of popular support, they have a strong and coordinated centralized military which includes an Air Force that is considered the most modern in Latin America, and an up-to-date intelligence apparatus which is probably the best in Latin America as well. I personally have a hard time imagining it. We're still in the Middle East very strongly, and there are many Hispanic Americans living here in the U.S. Even though most aren't Venezuelan or Honduran, don't some of you see the Hispanic community reacting extremely negatively against a war in South America? Also, as Peace Patriot pointed out, Chavez has a LOT of allies down there and an open war in Venezuela could become multi-regional and include a number of anti-American factions. Starting a war with Venezuela, on paper, would be more stupid than Iraq and Afghanistan. There would also be little public support for it, and would agitate the American people even more than we already are. When was the last time America engaged in a country that could hit us back? World War 2? We like pushing around countries that can't fight back...but Venezuela can AND it's very close to home. I don't see a war with Venezuela happening anytime soon, if ever. What we WOULD do though is try to destabalize his country from the inside and attempt a coup. But we already tried that I heard and it failed or something.
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