Oscar follow-up: Which of the "best" nominees will people be watching in 10 years and why?

[JackRiddler]

I'll add my pick below later.

[HeresyLives]

1. Probably none of them.

[JackRiddler]

2. We do live in the age when people are still watching "Ferris Bueller" and "Caddyshack," you know.

So unless civilization collapses and there is no Netflix...

[HeresyLives]

3. In ten years it'll all be antique.

Something that people in the 'old days' used to do.

[JackRiddler]

8. You figure it will all be brain plug-ins or smellovision by then?

Ah, everyone who's 30 or older now will still be watching'em, anyway.

[HeresyLives]

13. Something like that.

And I won't be watching em...most of em are so bad I don't watch them now!

[gratuitous]

4. Oh so cynical

Doesn't everybody invest 3½ hours re-watching "Titanic" at least once a month?

[truebrit71]

5. Nope..I almost made it through that train-wreck of a movie but couldn't quite manage it...

..James Cameron is self-important bore...

[Warpy]

6. All of them

Movies that are nominated even without winning are on cable stations forever.

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

7. Inglorious Basterds.

Because it's the best movie.

Avatar will be just another special effects blockbuster which will be neither a blockbuster nor special in a year's time. It'll be just another Armageddeon or The Day After Next or whatever the fuck it was called.

Fans of Up will just move on to Pixar's next movie. Happens every year. Let alone ten years.

The Blind Side was just more feel good Sandra Bullock shit. Does anybody actually admit to liking "Crash" anymore?

Hurt Locker will always be regarded as one great suspense movie, but it just doesn't have the rewatch value that IB has.

Up in the Air was just a Clooney Oscar vehicle and wasn't even the best movie about business travel this year.

A Serious Man's got good contention for challenging IB for something people still watch and care about 10 years from now. I think IB's got the edge.

[JackRiddler]

9. District 9

The only one truly pathbreaking.

And Inglorious Basterds. Which definitely broke... something. Something never quite broken in the same way.

And maybe Serious Man, since the Coens have their own cult, but Big Lebowski will always rule that roost.

The rest, as you have them.

Hurt Locker will be a low-ratings TCM-type thing and when you tune in it will be indistinguishable from Jarhead or Platoon or Black Hawk Down (you'll have to see what ethnicity the extras are) and quite a few notches below Saving Private Ryan.

Up in the Air will pull more views, as romantic comedies do better on TV. (Oh, sorry, it was a deep view of the present economy and the meaning of life.)

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

12. Well, it wasn't particularly ground breaking. I was basically Alien Nation.

The "real footage" was good. And new. But that was all in the same guy's short. And it works better as a short. The feature length film was that short, and then an action movie.

[JackRiddler]

15. You have a point.

Someone on another thread said they should have given it to The Wrestler to make up for last year. Great big-budget movies (and "The Wrestler" qualifies, as does anything that costs more than $3 million to make) come at a rate of one or two per year or less, and it only becomes obvious years later.

[tridim]

16. I'll re-watch "The Big Lebowski" until the day I die.

It never gets old.

[onenote]

18. you are so wrong about Up.

Fans of Up will just move on to Pixar's next movie. Happens every year. Let alone ten years.

Pixar's movies have great staying power, just as the original Disney libary is evergreen.

Take Toy Story -- one of the first Pixar releases. Ten years after its initial 1995 release it was the subject of a
tenth anniversary DVD release in Sept 2005 that did quite well -- in fact for just the fourth quarter of 2005, Pixar's "library" sales were in excess of $19 million. And in just a couple of weeks, a new updated double disc release of Toy Story and Toy Story 2 is coming out in advance of the theatrical release of another Toy Story movie.

And I have no doubt that Finding Nemo and other Pixar films will be given similar re-lease treatment and will do quite well.


The fact is that any of the nominated movies that enjoyed reasonable box office success will continue to be available and will have an audience ten years from now. That certainly will be the case for Avatar (the comparison to Armageddon is misplaced sinc that movie, while a box office success, was panned by the critics far more than Avatar). Since I'm still seeing re-runs of Speed and While You Were Sleeping, I suspect Hurt Locker will still be around on whatever formats are available.

[Abq_Sarah]

19. Crash?

I turned it off about halfway through. It was way too manipulative.

[damntexdem]

20. IB was good -- but nowhere near The Hurt Locker.

And THL should do good on TV.

[ieoeja]

22. Ironically, demote Sandra Bullock's character to a supporting role, and the Blind Side is great.

Homeless kid gets into private school on academic scholarship.

Homeless kid scrounges high school gym for leftovers to eat.

Homeless kid washes shirt nightly in sink so one of his two shirts will be clean the next day.

Teacher discovers kid is smart, but can not read, so goes the extra effort of teaching him verbally.

Same teacher persuades other teachers to do same.

Bullying, wealthy, former college cheerleader decides to make this one kid her pet project. Strong evidence suggests she may have done so because she is a superfan who wanted him on her children's high school football team and later her college team.

Homeless kid survives and thrives ultimately becoming an NFL star.


The movie about the homeless kid who went on to the NFL was pretty interesting. You just have to mentally delete 99% of Sandra Bullock's part. Even then, the teacher who helped him was a more interesting role than the spoiled, bored, rich bimbo.

[cali]

10. Avatar will be played endlessly on TV

[JackRiddler]

11. For three years straight. And then?

[cali]

14. for far longer than that. Look at Titanic. It's still frequently on TV

[blm]

17. Serious Man and District 9 for me. Also... Up....great animations have a really long shelf-life..

.

[Mike 03]

21. Kathy Bigelow, based on the idea that she is not some brand new director. She has been directing

spectacular films for a decade, and she is young and I expect her to continue to direct movies.

One caveat: She is a superb director, but not every screenplay she has directed has been up to the high standards of what is ordinarily considered "Great Work" in Hollywood.