Recently there was a DU post titled "Mayor plans to relocate poor residents to “downsize” Detroit".
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x7874848The mayor's plan involved buying out existing homeowners in neighborhoods with large numbers of empty properties or lots. Supposedly to "downsize" the city to make it easier to provide services to a more compact area. Unfortunately for the homeowners, their properties aren't currently worth much, even at the offered 125% of market value, making it unlikely they'd net enough to buy another home to live in a less depressed area.
Lots of posters expressed the opinion that there was "no choice" but to downsize.
These same posters pooh-poohed any notion that there might be ulterior motives involved, and sneered at the idea that there might be a property boom in Detroit's future.
I'd like to examine these propositions.
But first, let's look at North St. Louis, another old urban area with a large stock of decaying housing & empty lots:
In 2007 the St. Louis "Riverfront Times" came out with a story that bloggers & preservationists had been writing about for much longer. It was a story about how one rich developer/healthcare investor had bought up hundreds of North St. Louis properties.
http://www.riverfronttimes.com/2007-01-10/news/phantom-of-the-hood/http://www.riverfronttimes.com/2007-06-20/news/phantom-of-the-hood-part-2/The developer in question was Paul McKee Jr.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_McKee_(developer)
He started buying N. St. Louis properties in 2003, using a variety of front companies to maintain anonymity. Once purchased, any tenants were evicted & the buildings were left unsecured & unmaintained -- which had the effect of inviting crime, vandalism & further decline in surrounding property values. And in more than a few cases, the buildings had started out structurally sound & fairly well-maintained.
"The purchases began in 2003 and continue to this day. Many of these holdings are adjacent to city-owned real estate or in the path of infrastructure projects...
Included in the inventory at least 150 historic buildings. This ownership has significantly damaged historic buildings through acute neglect, and has lowered the quality of life for many of the people who live near their purchases. Overall, the holdings have perpetuated the neglect of one of the city's most hopeful areas."
http://www.eco-absence.org/blairmont/Here's a map of his holdings a couple of years ago: keep in mind that they're concentrated in about a square mile. They amount to around 700 properties covering about 100 acres.
So what was his master plan? This 2007 article lays it out:
http://interact.stltoday.com/mds/news/html/214"Developer Paul McKee helped draft a $100 million tax-credit program"
"A clearer picture emerged in Jefferson City this year, when the Legislature approved a $100 million tax credit for large-scale developments in impoverished areas. McKee spurred Lt. Gov. Peter Kinder to champion the bill, hired several lobbyists to push it and gave thousands of dollars - and use of a corporate plane - to politicians who helped pass it...
Under the bill, a developer could get tax credits that would wipe out all the interest costs and half the eligible land costs, including demolition expenses and maintenance costs for five years. To be eligible, a project would have to cover 100 acres. Land already purchased but not yet developed would qualify.
Tax credits would pump cash into construction because developers could sell the credits to wealthy individuals or companies. The buyers would use the credits to reduce their taxes. The program would cost the state up to $12 million a year, and it would expire when the amount awarded reached $100 million."
That's right: McKee didn't just evict his tenants, let historically significant buildings go to ruin, & bring down existing property values in an area where a small grassroots revival movement was underway.
He also helped draft legislation designed to apply mainly to him, & bribed legislators to pass it. The legislation essentially got the public to foot much of the bill for his development project -- in the form of reduced tax revenues -- which equals tighter public budgets & possible service or job cuts.
And even when this bombshell went public, McKee continued buying properties. The McKee-designed bill passed.
Then McKee started "talking about making St. Louis a central distribution point for trade with China."
"Today, St. Louis has a new, federally funded Midwest China Hub Commission, and the area’s foreign trade zone has expanded from 11 acres to 825 acres and includes McKee’s NorthPark development, tucked close to Lambert International Airport, with a hotel and plans broached for a $20 million “China mart.” NorthSide could be another piece in the puzzle, with plenty of room to warehouse goods trucked over the new bridge from Illinois’ MidAmerica Airport...."
"In mid-May, the Post ran another front-page story about McKee and the near North Side, this time detailing what the mysterious buying, the tax-credit bill, the political connections had all been leading toward: A $5.4 billion plan to shape more than 500 acres of St. Louis—an area larger than downtown Clayton—that had suffered disinvestment for more than 60 years. In the TIF application that McEagle submitted a week later, those numbers were $8.1 billion and more than 1,500 acres..."
http://www.stlmag.com/media/St-Louis-Magazine/November-2009/Special-Report-North-Side-Story/The graftiness continues:
03.08.2010
"Why did Paul McKee funnel $19.6 million (in tax credits) through a nonprofit public housing management company?"
http://interact.stltoday.com/blogzone/building-blocks/uncategorized/2010/03/why-did-paul-mckee-funnel-19-6-million-through-a-nonprofit-public-housing-management-company/http://interact.stltoday.com/blogzone/building-blocks/uncategorized/2009/12/judge-denies-injunction-on-mckee-project-but-raises-some-big-questions/There's more to the St. Louis saga, but I think you get the idea. Slums & poor people = cheap land & easy-to-displace people. And once the poor are gone, the land where "no one would want to live" magically gains value.
Detroit is still America's 11th most populous city. It has a population density of 6,800 people per square mile. Unfortunately, 80% of them are black & 22% of them are poor.
However, Detroit is quite a nice piece of real estate. It's right next to Canada (think NAFTA). It's a transportation hub. It's got several nice water features. And though it seems otherwise, there's a lot of business & a skilled workforce in the neighborhood. Plus, it's close to other major hubs.
So what could the game plan be in the case of Detroit?
It could be something as simple as Detroit pulling back its boundaries and selling off some of its land area (at sweetheart prices) to someone like McKee -- or maybe just some ordinary developer who'd plat it for suburban lots to be annexed by richer communities, e.g. Grosse Pointe, median family income $101K v. Detroit, median household income $28K.
Well, that's all for now. Next time, a look at the NYC financial crisis of 1975 & NYC's "planned shrinkage" policies that began earlier, helping to ghettoize the South Bronx, among other areas, as well as contribute to public health and safety epidemics.
We begin to see the hand of "investors" in both busts & booms, ghettoization and revival....
A couple of other economic indicators:
Artists buying cheap houses in Detroit
March 17, 2009
http://boingboing.net/2009/03/17/artists-buying-cheap.html(PS: "Artists" often = trust funders/speculators)
The New Dork Times lifestyle folks:
RECENTLY, at a dinner party, a friend mentioned that he’d never seen so many outsiders moving into town. This struck me as a highly suspect statement. After all, we were talking about Detroit, home of corrupt former mayor Kwame Kilpatrick, beleaguered General Motors and the 0-16 Lions. Compared with other cities’ buzzing, glittering skylines, ours sits largely abandoned, like some hulking beehive devastated by colony collapse. Who on earth would move here?
Then again, I myself had moved to Detroit, from Brooklyn...
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/08/opinion/08barlow.htmldevelopment...
http://www.freep.com/article/20100302/COL06/3020366/1004/news02/Quicken-founder-wants-to-bring-2400-downtownhttp://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100316-710179.html?mod=WSJ_latestheadlineshttp://www.freep.com/article/20100318/BUSINESS04/3180360/1002/Business/Appeals-court-rejects-Moroun-bidhttp://www.detnews.com/article/20100318/BIZ/3180375/1001/bizhttp://www.metromodemedia.com/devnews/m1railwoodwarddetroit0155.aspxhttp://www.modeldmedia.com/devnews/emkt021610.aspx...yuppie bait...
http://www.detroiteasternmarket.com/news_page.php?id=99Historic Detroit Venue Transforms
Published on December 19, 2009 - 10:56 am
by JOHN GALLAGHER-FREE PRESS BUSINESS WRITER
Renovated Eastern Market is a chic event destination
GM car unveiling in Shed 3 marks veggie vendor's new era, identity
The site was Shed 3 of Detroit's Eastern Market, better known as a place for buying tomatoes and eggplants than Chevrolets. But renovations of Eastern Market's historic sheds have boosted the star power of the region's largest public market.
http://www.metromodemedia.com/devnews/masstransitmetrodetroit0148.aspx