The Cost of Failure to Enact Health Reform: 2010 - 2020
In a report from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, analysts at the Urban Institute used their Health Insurance Policy Simulation Model to assess the changes in coverage patterns and health care costs that would occur nationally from 2010 to 2020 in the event that major reforms are not enacted. The study examined three alternative scenarios:
1. Worst case – continuing high levels of unemployment; slow growth in incomes; high growth rates for health care costs;
2. Intermediate case – somewhat faster growth in incomes, but a lower growth rate for health care costs; and
3. Best case – full employment; faster income growth; even slower growth in health care costs.
Under all three economic scenarios,
the analysis finds that middle-class families will be hardest hit, as by 2020, they will compose over half of the uninsured population in America. Specifically, the researchers explored the following question on the effects that failure to reform the health care system would have on the composition of uninsured:
much more:
http://www.rwjf.org/files/research/57449overall.pdf