Dems retake lead on generic ballot for '10 congressional elections

[WI_DEM]

At this point in the cycle, the generic ballot isn't the best predictor of November's final results, but nonetheless this is a nice trend to see:

CNN, 4/9-11. MoE 3.5% (3/28 results)
Generic ballot preference
among registered voters:
Democratic Party: 50% (45%)
Republican Party: 46% (49%)


That's an 8-point swing in the Democratic Party's direction in the wake of the passage of health care reform. It's also the first CNN generic ballot showing the Democrats leading since mid-November.

A couple of other interesting findings from the poll:

First: In the (unfortunately) unlikely event Sarah Palin were to run for president, she'd be in real trouble. 69% of registered voters think she's unqualified to be President and she trails President Obama by a 55%-42% margin.

www.dailykos.com

Does it bother anybody else that 69% of registered voters think Palin is unqualified to be president and yet she gets 42% of the vote?

[Arkana]

1. She gets 42% because 11% hate Obama more than they do Sarah Palin.

[Pab Sungenis]

2. There's a group of people out there who know that she's unqualified

but believe that Obama is even more black...er...I mean "unqualified."

[backscatter712]

3. The polls are being real weird right now.

They seem to be bouncing up and down all over the place. Some say Obama's doing great, some say he's in the toilet.

:shrug:

[still_one]

4. I don't know about these polls, but when the repukes have two straw polls and Paul wins one

and ties another, that speaks volumes that the republicans are in big trouble within their own ranks

Some people may not be happy with the Democrats, or how slowly things seem to be going, but that does not extrapolate into a republican victory, and that is the mistake I think many of these so-called analysts are making

They assume it defaults to republican, but that is far from evident