"This, arguably, is among the best polling days for Democrats this year."

[Pirate Smile]

Polling and political wrap-up, 5/12/10
by Steve Singiser
Polling and political wrap-up, 5/12/10 Wed May 12, 2010 at 07:32:05 PM PDT

This, arguably, is among the best polling days for Democrats this year. One day doth not make a trend, but the GOP has to be a little surprised, after months of optimistic data, to see what emerged today from places like Pennsylvania, Idaho, Nevada, and Massachusetts.

...
THE U.S. SENATE

FL-Sen: Crist thumbs nose At GOP twice in one day
Charlie Crist is quite clearly growing comfortable with his role as an Independent Senate candidate. He started off this Wednesday by formally changing his party registration from Republican to "NPA", which stands for "no party affiliation." His campaign then made a fairly surprising move: they announced that they will not be offering refunds to donors angered at his abandonment of the GOP. The money quote: "They donated to the Charlie Crist for U.S. Senate Campaign and it's still the Charlie Crist for U.S. Senate Campaign."

-snip-
NV-Sen: Internal poll claims Reid poll position vastly improved
Granted, given the pollster (which Nevada columnist Jon Ralston describes as a Democratic pollster, identified elsewhere as Franklin Maslin Maullin), one has to presume this is some kind of internal poll. That said, new numbers out of Nevada give Harry Reid his best numbers of the year. The poll has Harry Reid up five on ChickenCare maven Sue Lowden (42-37), and even has him dead-even with the other leading GOPer in the field, Danny Tarkanian (37-37). Ralston, for what it worth, ties it to the political death of Bob Bennett, and implies that a purge of moderates from the GOP is pending.

-snip-
PA-Sen: Democratic position for general election improves, says F&M
Much, of course, has been made today of the trio of polls out of Pennsylvania showing the battle between Arlen Specter and Joe Sestak for the Democratic Senate nomination to be an absolute toss-up. But the Franklin and Marshall poll also examined the general election, and there is cause for optimism among Dems. Both Specter and Sestak are now within the margin of error against near-certain GOP nominee Patrick Toomey. Toomey leads Specter by two points (35-33), and he leads Sestak by just a single point (29-28). As is always the case with F&M polling, there is an outsized share of the vote that is undecided (no pressing leaners here, evidently).

THE U.S. HOUSE

-snip-
PA-12: Democratic position improves in Murtha special election
Several polls over the past few weeks (including a Daily Kos/R2K poll) showed the Republican, Tim Burns, in excellent position to pick up a seat for the GOP. But there might be a reversal of fortune in our midst, if a new poll by Susquehanna Research is to be believed. The pollster (who actually has done some work for the GOP in the past) has Democrat Mark Critz leading Republican Tim Burns by a six-point margin (44-38). What's more, the new poll shows that Burns is far from a lock to be the party nominee in November--he is locked in a tough battle with 2008 nominee William Russell, who was furious when Burns was granted the nomination for the special election, and has waged a brutal primary battle with Burns.

-snip-
THE GUBERNATORIAL RACES

CA-Gov: Poizner smells blood, throws more cash at primary bid
In perhaps the clearest sign yet that GOP state insurance commissioner Steve Poizner sees a path of victory, he has thrown another $2.5 million at his challenge to Meg Whitman for the Republican primary nod. That means that the two candidates for Governor on the GOP side have now self-funded to the tune of over $75 million, with Whitman responsible for $59 million in self-funding, and Poizner kicking in another $17.5 mil.

NV-Gov: Dem poll has Rory Reid roaring back to life
The same Democratic poll that Jon Ralston cited in his column about the resurrection of Senator Harry Reid had some pretty tasty numbers for Reid's son, Rory. Rory Reid trails Republican frontrunner Brian Sandoval by just five points (46-41). Sandoval has routinely led Reid by double digits, according to virtually all public polling in the race. Sandoval must first survive the GOP primary next month, and recent polling has suggested that scandal-tarred incumbent GOP Governor Jim Gibbons might well be on the road to political recovery in that primary.

-snip-

THE RAS-A-PALOOZA

Rasmussen, after a silent Tuesday, awakens on Wednesday with numbers that would have to be described as surprising out of the Bay State. After months being seen as one of the most vulnerable incumbents in America, is there a boomlet in progress for Democratic Governor Deval Patrick? Also, the House of Ras heads north to Alaska, and finds that the citizens there quite clearly consider new Governor Sean Parnell to be an upgrade over the previous occupant of the Governor's Mansion.

...
MA-Gov: Gov. Deval Patrick (D) 45%, Charlie Baker (R) 31%, Tim Cahill (I) 14%

Race tracker wiki: FL-Sen KY-Sen NC-Sen NV-Sen PA-Sen ID-01 NY-13 PA-12 TN-09 WV-01 CA-Gov NV-Gov PA-Gov AK-Gov MA-Gov

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/5/12/865869/-Polling-and-political-wrap-up,-5-12-10

Plus - while there seems to be some bad policy news in the NBC/WSJ poll (AZ law, oil drilling), it does have a +5 swing for Obama - approval up 2 to 50% and disapproval down 3 to 44%.

[msongs]

1. ummm charlie crist is NOT a democrat nt

[TheWraith]

6. No, but he's fucking the Republicans, which is nearly as good. nt

[HughMoran]

2. I hope some people are finally coming to their senses

I know the Repukes are taking a break and will be especially moronic hateful bigots this fall, let's hope that people are growing tired of the Party of No & Hate

[Arkana]

3. WHOA! When the hell did Deval Patrick's numbers start looking so good?

[Scurrilous]

4. K & R

:thumbsup:

[moondust]

5. "Throw the bums out" is not the answer.

"Throw the bums out" is not the answer.
"Throw the bums out" is not the answer.
"Throw the bums out" is not the answer.
"Throw the bums out" is not the answer.
"Throw the bums out" is not the answer.
"Throw the bums out" is not the answer.
"Throw the bums out" is not the answer.