East Coast residents. Watch the storm forming in the Atlantic.

[alfredo]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 1 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION
...BUT DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER.
HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS. SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND IN
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BLAKE
NNNN



Take care.

[KaryninMiami]

1. Tis the season to be stormy....

Now is when things begin to heat up- happens every summer. August is when these things really start forming more often. Life in the tropics has good points and not so good points- summer is occasionally both steamy and stressful!

[texanwitch]

2. Time to get the old hurricane kit together.

I live on the Gulf coast so I am watching the weather.

[alfredo]

4. My Florida buddy made sure he had batteries and beer.

[texanwitch]

5. Sounds good to me.

During the night Of Hurricane Ike we stayed up drinking beer and listening to the wind howl.

[alfredo]

6. All you need the batteries for is to find the opener and

the bathroom.

[texanwitch]

7. Yep.

:toast:

[alfredo]

8. Up here we have tornadoes. By the time you get your beer

and get back into the cellar, it's gone.

[texanwitch]

9. We don't have cellars here.

I would love to have a cellar.

We did have something that sounded like a tornadoe go down the street behind us during the night.

That is as close as I want get to one.

I rather have hurricanes to worry about then tornadoes.

[alfredo]

10. I guess a sinkhole doesn't qualify as a cellar.

[pipi_k]

16. I'm in New England and we do occasionally get tornado warnings...

the last one coming a couple of weeks ago.

It's the only storm that really scares me. It's the unpredictability of them.

[alfredo]

17. They hop around, lift off, then drop back down.

[beam me up scottie]

11. You have a cellar?

In this part of Kentuckessee, you're lucky if you have a crawl space.

When the sirens go off I have the option of crawling into an old chimney (converted to a closet) which is infested with brown recluses (and gawd knows what else this year) or taking my chances under the bed.

[alfredo]

13. Up on the Cynthiana Arch we have limestone, not sand

to anchor our homes. We have nice firm soil for digging a cellar.

[alfredo]

3. So far the models aren't showing much of a northern turn

yet. It's still a long way off.

[Nothing Without Hope]

12. I just keep checking Dr. Jeff Masters here:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

He always gives in-depth discussion, and his opinions of the multiple models' predictions is based on deep experience.

Right now, as he points out in a post in his blog yesterday, the worst weather is the monsoon over Pakistan.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1561

[malaise]

14. Another great link from a DUer

http://www.crownweather.com/?page_id=325

[alfredo]

15. I see it is now a TD. TD4