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What are the people saying about the November election

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ThomWV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 07:00 AM
Original message
What are the people saying about the November election
Edited on Mon Aug-02-10 07:05 AM by ThomWV
Each morning C-span airs a National call-in program on which current topics of political interest are discussed. Three phone lines are available, one for Republicans, Democrats, and Independents. Callers often are asked and will tell which party they will support in the next election, just about as frequently they volunteer the information or clearly imply which way they will vote. The call(er)s are only screed for profane- or hate- language; some of course ramble on making no point at all.

For a long time it has seemed to me that callers have been favoring Democrats. This of course flies in the face of political polling that it is reported indicates Republicans will do well at the Polls this fall. So this morning, with the opening discussion being 'What do you consider the most important issue and who will you vote for in November' I thought it was a great time to keep track of what people were saying.

In the segment there were 29 callers, evenly divided (minus 1 Independent) between the three groups. Of the 29 callers 9 indicated that "Jobs" was their most important issue. 3 callers said "Republican Obstruction" headed their list of concerns while 1 mentioned the 'Wars'. 3 callers fixed on 'the economy', 2 named 'Immigration', 2 named 'Housing', and 1 said 'Congressional Ethics' as the deciding factors in determining their votes. Others said basically nothing.

Now here is the more interesting count. Of the 29 callers 13 indicated they would vote Democrat come November. 2 favored Independents, and 5 said they would vote for Republicans. Several were noncommittal or blathered on and on saying nothing decipherable. Today was not much different than yesterday, or the day before, or the day before.

I don't think for a moment that the Democrats are going to lose their majorities in the House or Senate this fall. They may lose individual seats, they may gain some too, but overall I do not think their numbers will decrease and an utterly random bunch of politically active people - because that is who calls into C-span - prefer Democrats to Republicans by a ratio greater than 2 to 1.

Have a great day.
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Jenny_92808 Donating Member (87 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 07:07 AM
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1. I am a very motivated...
Dem who will vote. The arrogance of repubs trying to reduce Dem turn out will not work with me.
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county worker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 07:18 AM
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2. I agree that Dems will not lose much if anything in Nov.
It makes no sense to me that even though we haven't seen the change we voted for that people then would turn to repubs to get that change.

I to am disappointed with what the last 18 months have gotten us. Those here at DU who like to be called progressive can make a pretty good argument that we have been promised much and have received little. But even those folks are not going to turn to repubs. Of course they may sit this election out. I hope they don't.
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zipplewrath Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 08:44 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. All politics are local
I tend to think we won't see a loss of control either, in both houses. However, in order to maintain a strong majority, you need more than just 50+% of support. The democrats have more seats "in play" because they have more seats. Some of those are going to be losses. In the reverse, there are only so many GOP seats in play, so it will be hard to "pick up" seats there. It's going to come down to local races, and local candidates. The wrong ad, a mistake that's made too close to the election, a bad turn in the local economy can have vastly more to do with these elections than Obama or anything that congress actually does, or has done. The GOP has been doing some screwy things lately. They could be our best hope.
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