I still believe Democrats will keep control of the Congress, for these reasons:
1. The publication of the book Decision Points by former President George W. Bush will have a bombshell impact in the closing hours of the campaign. The publication date is Nov. 9. Here is what will happen:
The book will leak the week before the election. Probably the entire book. Certainly the most controversial revelations. The saturation media coverage will be intense. Karl Rove will be everywhere.
Voters will remember: It was a Republican president who initiated the bailout. It was Republican economics, championed by a Republican Congress, that caused the recession and created the curse of devastating unemployment. The bad memories will flow as details of the Bush book unfold in the days before the election.
I am no apologist for the shortcomings of the Democratic Party, but analyzing major trends, the most likely outcome is that Democrats retain control of both houses of Congress.
http://thehill.com/opinion/columnists/brent-budowsky/112253-dems-to-keep-the-congress