http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/As a trial attorney, I think people are smoking crack if they think the Supreme Court will approve gay marriage.
But here's the problem for the Supreme Court in overturning Judge Walker's decision (which they desperately want to do). There was almost no defense of Prop 8. Under the law Jerry Brown as state AG was supposed to mount a defense of Prop 8 which - like it or not - was the law of the state of CA. As a result Prop 8 got no real defense except from the intervenors who were a bunch of bumbling stumbling idiots. Their witnesses didn't show up, or gave confusing testimony, or were withdrawn at the last minute. There was almost no defense put on - true legal malpractice. Indigent defendants in minor cases get better defenses from public defenders.
Boies and Olson won by default. Do people really believe the most important social issue of our day is going to be decided on default, and the Supreme Court is just gonna say "ok whatever". Dream on.
My guess is the Supreme Court is going to remand this back to California federal court with instructions to the State of CA that it must mount a defense - most probably with outside counsel. Then there will be another trial, which given what we know of the 9th circuit will result in another pro-gay ruling (I hope). Then back through the appellate process and ultimately back to the SC again. Estimated time before the SC actually rules on the merits: five to six years.
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