By Timothy R. Homan and Shobhana Chandra
Aug. 26 (
Bloomberg) -- Economists who projected the U.S. recovery would gain speed in the second half of the year are now scaling back those forecasts as the outlook for jobs and business investment dims.
“We have to be realistic and acknowledge that the economic data have been weaker than we thought,” said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. in New York. “We’re more concerned about the near-term risk to growth than the longer-term.”
LaVorgna yesterday slashed his estimate for growth this quarter to a 2 percent annual pace. As recently as two weeks ago, he projected 4.6 percent. Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut, now estimates a 2.3 percent rate of expansion, down from a June forecast of 4.1 percent.
The downgrades are coming as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke prepares to address central bankers from around the world at a symposium tomorrow in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. After cutting the benchmark interest rate to near zero, there may be little else policy makers can do to spur growth other than bolster sentiment, Stanley and LaVorgna said. ..........(more)
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