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Check Out These Poll Trend Lines

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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 05:53 PM
Original message
Check Out These Poll Trend Lines
Edited on Thu Sep-02-10 05:57 PM by louis c
Gallup has the approval poll numbers for the Presidents going back to Harry Truman. You can compare Obama with Clinton and Reagan at the same point in each Presidency. The trend lines are eerily similar. The only difference being that Obama is actually ahead of both of them in the same elapsed time in office (Obama 43%-Clinton-39%-Reagan-42%). By the way, both Reagan and Clinton won overwhelming second terms.


link:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Approval-Center.aspx
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
1. Reagan and Clinton won easy reelections
Carter didn't. And Clinton had to "end the era of big government".

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DURHAM D Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 06:06 PM
Response to Original message
2. Obama won with 54% of the popular vote.
He is now down 11% points.

Clinton only won 43% of the popular vote (Perot factor) so he was down only 4%.

JFTR - Clinton didn't even get a majority of votes when re-elected.
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unblock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 06:27 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. perot factor, again. still, he got 70% of the electoral votes and 55% of the dem&rep vote
if perot hadn't won and clinton had won a mere 10% of the perot voters, he would have had a majority in the popular vote.
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DURHAM D Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 06:32 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. What does this have to do with the OP? nt
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unblock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 06:37 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. i replied to your post, not the o.p.
you pointed out that clinton didn't get an outright majority of the popular vote in 1996. i just supplied a bit of context and analysis. clinton won showed more strongly than it might appear from that one statistic.
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Whisp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 06:39 PM
Response to Original message
6. by the sound of those fuckers on CNN
Obama has a 1% favourable rating and its dropping fast!
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Scuba Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 07:20 PM
Response to Original message
7. Polls are a joke, and more often used to shape public opinion than to measure it....
..."my poll says Americans love Republicans. Jump on board." What bull. Gallop among the worst.
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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 11:50 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. I Don't Want to Clutter Your Mind with the Facts, But............
Here's a run down of all the polls leading up to the final vote in 2008.

Rather than a joke, they were very, very accurate. We ignore polls to our own peril.

Link:
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08gen.htm
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Codeine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-02-10 11:52 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Nonsense. Hop over to 538 and educate yourself. nt
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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 06:00 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. The Numbers I Posted are False?
The only way to test the accuracy of poll numbers is to match them with the actual vote. So far, the national numbers are within a point or two of each other every time. What a coincidence.
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