WOW!!!! Big Ed just reported: DEM Voting in PA's 15th District is THREE TIMES HIGHER

[CatWoman]

Than that of normal mid term voting!!!!

Anyone here from that district?

:woohoo:

[proud patriot]

1. awesome

:)

[CatWoman]

2. Hi PP

:hi:

:loveya:

you ever hear from Robbie?

[proud patriot]

25. Naw , I wish, he was such a cool cat

:shrug:

[Bragi]

3. So are they coming out to show how happy they are?

Bigger-than-usual turnout is a bad sign for the Dems, right?

[babylonsister]

5. No, supposedly good for Dems...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x498591

Record Election Turnout Expected

[LawnLover]

6. Are you being sarcastic?

Big voter turnout is traditionally a great sign for Dems.

[Bragi]

18. No I meant it, but I hope you're right

I had thought that high numbers would mean that highly-motivated, angry anti-status quo people are turning out in large numbers, which would favor the GOP.

As in:

Record Republican Engagement Drives High Turnout ForecastRecord Republican Engagement Drives High Turnout Forecast

http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1787/2010-pre-election-survey-gop-win-house-wide-turnout-advantage-engagement-gap?src=prc-latest&proj=pej

Having said that, I hope I'm wrong and you're correct.

[karynnj]

41. I get what you are saying, but the estimates of turnout that people predicted

assumed HIGH Republican turnout and mediocre Democratic turnout - these anecdotes need HIGH turnout for BOTH.

Nate Silver had one column of the number of races that flip back to use if our numbers are 1% and 2% higher respectively. IF these accounts are true and wide spread, the results - still losses - would be far less than expected. There are many close races - that we win (registered voters) and they win (likely voters). As our % voting approaches theirs, the RV model is better than the LV one.

[mvd]

7. Reports are of good turnout in urban areas and some Dem. districts

Hope it's a good sign! I just can't understand how PA could forget so quickly.

And thanks for the thread, CatWoman! :hi:

[virtualobserver]

8. From 1999-2005, Pat Toomey represented the district.

[Renew Deal]

19. Bigger turnout is usually good for dems.

So we'll see.

[Cal33]

44. Yes, there are more Dems. than Repubs., and the Repubs. know it.

[Barack_America]

4. So, um, that's Toomey's old district.

I don't know if I'd necessarily consider it a Dem stronghold by any stretch.

Sorry.

[BootinUp]

9. not good. nt

[CatWoman]

11. Ed said there was a surge in DEM voters

in that district.

[Barack_America]

13. That might be worth including in the OP.

Thanks for the info.

[CatWoman]

15. ok - will try to edit

:)

[winstars]

12. Whoops, All day long this is happening..

I am glad I have to go to work for the next 5 hours and get away from my 'puter. It's always like this right now a limbo state that if you read these posts later after what outcome they seem so "last year" Happened to me in 2000 (don't even go there, 2004 and 2008...

[Quixote1818]

14. It has a rating of D+2 so it's slightly Democratic

However if it is Toomey's old district, his former supporters might be coming out extra to support him. Hard to say if the high turnout there is good or bad for Dems.

[pgodbold]

10. !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! +

[kwolf68]

30. Love that graphic

!!

[blue neen]

16. Apparently this district now has many more latino voters than it used to.

It's been a long time since Pat Toomey held that seat.

[disillusioned73]

17. I'm in the 16th, it looks to me that this a

Repub area( North East corner) - lets hope Phila. & Pitts. turn out. I haven't voted yet, but I plan to right after work..

[H2O Man]

20. Recommended.

Although I'm in NYS, I have an aunt and cousins in PA. My aunt is one of the most impressive human beings that I've ever met. She's an "old school" democrat, and university professor, who has held elected office in the state. (I used to hang out with my cousins and their neighbor, who is now a US Senator.)

Anyhow, my cousins and aunt have worked harder this year than any other to get out the vote in PA!

[CatWoman]

21. Hey Buddy!!!

:hi:

:loveya:

owe you an email or two.

I've been staying away from them -- I'm such a coward :(

[political_Dem]

22. That is spectacular news.

Such a turnout can only help keep power out of the hands of the Teabaggers.

[Bitwit1234]

23. Now that's what I can't understand ALL

over the country the Democrats are turning out in record numbers, but the MSM is still predicting that the republicans are going to take over. DO THEIR IN THEIR EVER LOVING RIGHT MIND THINK DEMOCRATS would vote for republicans. they are so hopeful that it happens they have to lie out their ass.

[nadinbrzezinski]

29. The spin is lovely

and I will point this out... they will SPIN a GOP victory even if only ONE seat changes hands... (And more than that will change hands, but not as many as they think)

[tblue37]

42. No, Dems won't vote for Rethugs, but the electronic machines

probably will, no matter whom the voters vote for.

[Bluenorthwest]

24. Oregon expects the highest mid term turn out since 1990

It is that enthusiasm gap thingy, I guess.

[cascadiance]

27. One report puts it around 72%...

[Wounded Bear]

28. WA highest since 1970

Beatcha! :)

Sec of State predicting 66%. Hopefully it bodes well for the D's.

:kick:

[great white snark]

26. Woot!

:kick:

[joeybee12]

31. KNR

[starroute]

32. The 15th is Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton

It's kind of a funny mix -- I live south of there and I've never felt I had a grasp on the voting patterns in the 15th. Basically kind of rust belt -- and very heavy on the rust part these days. Traditionally socially conservative, working class voters who tend to go Republican -- but there are also a lot more Hispanics than there used to be.

Toomey isn't a native, either. He was born in Rhode Island and doesn't seem to have had any connection with Pennsylvania until he retired from the banking business and opened a restaurant in Allentown in 1991.

So it isn't at all clear to me what the heavy turnout might mean.

[WinkyDink]

39. We are heavily Democratic. Cf: Freeman and the mayors of those 3 cities.

[defendandprotect]

33. Good news -- turnout is very important for Dems -- !!

[kathysart_decoration]

34. High voter turnout in Milwaukee polling station

I am very excited to read these posts reporting high voter turnout. I volunteered to be a poll observer for the Democratic Party here in Milwaukee, WI and I was assigned to a voter station which is in a predominantly African American neighborhood. Even at about 9:00 this morning the volunteers, who have been at this location for years, said they were shocked at how high the turnout was. Higher even, according to the Chief Coordinator, than the last presidential election. Until I left at 1:00, they continued to express their ammazement at the high turnout - which may not be as high as other neighborhoods - but they said it was very high. Never seen numbers this high before. There has been a huge effort in this area to call people and it appears to be working - for the Democrats especially. I worked a phone bank yesterday and got to meet Russ Feingold. When I met him I said, "It is my pleasure to meet you," and he took several steps away and turned around and said, "No, it is my pleasure to be able to meet you." I must say, I was thrilled and overall feel very hopeful in spite of all the bad news on the news. Hope is alive. We can't do without a Russ Feingold.

[CatWoman]

37. thanks for that WONDERFUL report

and welcome to DU!!

:hi:

[tilsammans]

35. Major kickage!!!

:kick: :kick: :kick:

Take THAT, Teabaggers!!!

[WinkyDink]

36. That's MY District!! The Big Dog just spoke to 4,000 of us on 9/28!

[CatWoman]

38. !!!!!!

:hi:

[WinkyDink]

40. AND he told us we were THE district in THE state! (Gotta love him!)

[Uncle Joe]

43. Kicked and recommended.

Thanks for the thread, CatWoman.:thumbsup: