Turn out is very high folks

[nadinbrzezinski]

actually higher than 2006...

I cannot wait to see that shitty mug if talking heads trying to 'splain this.

Turn out trends to help the dems... and unlike 1994 when it was lower than historic norms, this is starting to look like a trend. And I will say it now... we are in for a pleasant surprise... Chuck Todd will eat some crow... and that will be good.

[Meatball]

1. They're probably going to say the voting machines broke, among other things.

nt

[nadinbrzezinski]

6. Well Nate Silver had a cya last night over at his blog

saying that perhaps there is something to the cell phone theory... one I advanced here over three weeks ago.

[Aramchek]

17. Nate knows he has gone too far out on the limb. He's trying to shimmy backwards.

[nadinbrzezinski]

20. Either the companies will decide to revise

methodology, or they will keep losing face...

It has happened before.

[laughingliberal]

52. He's had Angle with a 78% chance for weeks. Polls have never been outside the margin of error.

Fucker!

:nuke:

[Meatball]

35. That's true, the cell phone thing is very real.

I'm one of the many cellphone only users and so is my wife. I've never been polled in he 10 years since I registered to vote and also, never had a landline in my own place. In fact, many of my friends are still bachelors, and live in small apartments, and all use only cell phones AND are democrats.

[nadinbrzezinski]

37. I know it is real

and welcome to DU...

:hi:

I will add something else... I hang up on pollsters anymore. It is the push polls stupid. So that is also a factor...

[laughingliberal]

53. Cells are all we Mr. LL and I have. nt

[old mark]

55. Silver is a loudmouth fucking jerk - I don't know why so many here put any

stock in anything he says.
He is in the same class as Tweety...worthless.

mark

[seabeyond]

2. awfully busy where i voted for a mid term. nt

[glitch]

57. Me too, at 2p. And the precinct was empty last time I voted (local election, but still) ;) nt

[kimmerspixelated]

3. I was surprised, too.

I think you're right. It feels positive to me.

[hlthe2b]

I hope you are right and it is a BIG turnout everywhere--not just

regional.... I am so sick of the smug attitudes and the preaching that "it is all over" before the first (election day) vote is cast.

[nadinbrzezinski]

7. 90 million is not regional

that was the forecast this morning posted from a prof, the thing is floating over here. I am willing to say it is going over the 90 million mark.

[Beetwasher]

4. In Addition, Unlike '94, The Repubs Are Less Popular Than STD's

In '94 they Repubs approval was over 50%.

Get ready for every Repub on the planet to scream VOTER FRAUD when they don't do as well as the propoganda suggested they should.

[nadinbrzezinski]

9. Oh FREE Republic will be full of

VOTER FRAUD and VOTING MACHINES tonight...

I agree with them, we cannot trust them voting machines... but the echo will be funny to watch.

[aquart]

50. Hey, if we win and their rage gets the machines tossed...

WE STILL WIN!

[Raven]

5. Amazingly heavy turnout in my town (SW,NH) and the Moderator

told me that many are not voting a straight ticket. Good for us? I don't know.

[nadinbrzezinski]

10. How does he know?

He should not know...

Just saying.

[On the Road]

8. Well, That's Good

It was dead at my polling place in South Baltimore. Plus the MVA didn't forward my address change, so I had to vote provisional. Doubt it will make a difference.

[nadinbrzezinski]

12. It sucks when they do that

our place we were not opening the place... and we have for primaries at ten in the morning. (We go vote in between rushes. There was no line but we were told they were BUSY in the morning and expected a rush at lunch again)

[On the Road]

22. Yes, I Went About 3PM to Avoid the Crowds

but I suspect turnout is low anyway in this neighborhood. It's a mixture of redneck and black and almost all poor or working class.

[LawnLover]

16. I was forced to vote provisional in 2006

Even though I haven't moved in 20 years and have always gone to the same polling place. I was not on the rolls. Really, really pissed me off.

[zipplewrath]

11. I was surprised this morning

It wasn't a presidential turn out, but it was heavier than I remember any other election being.

[Hepburn]

13. I FUCKING HATE CHUCK TODD...

...I just want to punch him out every time he opens his yap!

That is all...!!! :mad:

Edit for typo

[Aramchek]

29. he always looks like he just finished wolfing down a Hair Milkshake

[nadinbrzezinski]

34. Tonight it will be crow

the spinning, oy the spinning.

[Hepburn]

47. ...

...:applause:

[Nevernose]

14. 3 different Vegas poll workers have told me

That turn out is higher, but "weird." Its been a steady stream all day instead of crowds. This was at the 3 different schools I was at today, which are one red neighborhood, one blue, and one mixed. Nevada's going to be interesting.

[nadinbrzezinski]

19. That will be a telling race

Steady stream is good though.

Hispanics are turning up...

[crazylikafox]

27. when people are unemployed, then can vote any time

[XanaDUer]

15. Good

Nt.

[spanone]

18. two word....cell phones

[nadinbrzezinski]

23. Yep...

the polls have been correct for the universe of voters they're reaching... but missing a whole swath...

Not only that... younger voters ARE voting in now two midterms... I can spot a trend.

[Lint Head]

21. I have all of my appendages crossed.

[Erose999]

24. People who are satisfied with Obama haven't been making as much noise. And really his election

brought all sorts of people who had never voted before into the political process.

The MSM narrative is all about the "anti-incumbent sentiment" and the "tea party", just because these are the people who are the most vocal. And outrage gets better ratings than objectivity.

I said it in another thread, but its still anybody's race. Most of the races are within a couple points and we all know that polls skew right because they rely on old media and landline phones. Also, those voters who are content are probably less compelled to participate in polls and such.

[Bluenorthwest]

25. Oregon expects the highest mid term turn out since 1990

72% or higher is the estimate with many ballots in (vote by mail).

[RagAss]

26. As long as they don't let the Bagger's oxygen tanks vote...we should be ok.

[Blue_In_AK]

28. Reports are that turnout is high in Alaska, too,.

Some precincts are reporting higher turnout than even in 2008. Our Senatorial election has generated a lot of interest all over the state.

[nadinbrzezinski]

30. It will be historic

you keep warm...

[d_b]

36. probably for Lisa

but I sure hope it's for Scott

[fascisthunter]

31. Big Turnout in Mass

on my way to cast my vote...

[nadinbrzezinski]

32. Take something to read...

:-)

[fascisthunter]

33. I've got my iPhone... lol

[haele]

38. I went to vote before coming to work; there were already 5 signatures on my registration "page" -

(one of the thirty or so pages listing registered voters for our very residential polling station) and only two of the seven booths open for voters at 0730 this morning. The poll worker told me I was already #31; two more people came in as I was voting.
About half the people walking around work have "I voted" stickers on their shirts and lapels.
People are coming in early to vote.
Last time I came to vote at the same polling station, it was around 1630 (4:30pm), and there were only about ten signatures on my registration page when I signed, and there hadn't been a huge turnout during the day.

Haele

[nadinbrzezinski]

42. We usually "open" the place at 10:30

we were told turn out was heavy this morning.

[lightningandsnow]

39. It's interesting...we had our highest ever turnout in our local election (Toronto) last week...

Maybe people everywhere are getting more tuned in and more involved? Maybe the current political climate is more polarizing? Does anyone have any theories?

[nadinbrzezinski]

43. In the US is HOW the polls are done

they ignore whole swaths of the population. It may also be a higher tuning in, because in the US midterms don't have high turn out. (Ok let me revise this, as high as we started having in 2006, far from high really... still gona be under 50% nationwide)

[gkhouston]

40. The local NPR radio station reported that turnout in some Houston precincts is light

due to early voting. Heard that on the way to pick up my kid from afterschool activities. When I got there, the block in front of the school was parked up like it was Open House Night. I had to park on a side street. Usually, there are only a 6-10 cars in front of the school at this time of day. Made we wonder where the "light voting" is happening.

[nadinbrzezinski]

44. In somebody's imagination

or that particular poll site is an outlier.

Nah, I'd say media is still pushing a narrative.

[gkhouston]

48. The polling site is close to an early voting location, so I'd be surprised if

people hadn't taken advantage of the two-week early voting period.

[blue sky at night]

41. Thanks nadin...

your post so has made me hopeful...you are the rock. K&R

[nadinbrzezinski]

46. I just hope I am right

but when I read that post this morning about turnout being higher than 2006...

[pgodbold]

45. There is a God! There is a God! nt

[prolesunited]

49. Had to wait in line today

which has never happened in a mid-term. Workers said turnout was nearly as great as 2008. Another good sign, I was waiting in line with union workers and African-Americans. My guess they weren't voting GOP.

[nadinbrzezinski]

51. And that is the point

the nooz media has not gone into how high the turn out was.\

Rendell talked about it, Tweety ignored it.

[bluethruandthru]

54. I've never had to wait in line so long to vote!

Hard to believe this is a mid term. My husband says it all the angry tea partiers but I'd like to think its the Dems who aren't happy that the race has been called for the repukes for weeks! (I'm a glass half full kind of person :) )

[nadinbrzezinski]

56. Van Hollen, DSCC chief, agrees with you

[nadinbrzezinski]

58. Politicos have pointed out turn out

talking heads have studiously avoided the issue.

VERY TELLING like oh... 2006.

[Whispering Pine]

59. 20 minute line at my polling station

About what I waited in 2008

[nadinbrzezinski]

60. Welcome to DU

:hi:

[fascisthunter]

61. Just Got back... WOW, lot's of folks voting today

The numbers are less, but man there are still a lot of people still voting.

[nadinbrzezinski]

62. And that is GOOD news

Why do republicans hate people voting? We are in for a hell of a ride tonight.

[fascisthunter]

63. Nadine... you know the answer to that.

they do not respect democracy... to them it's just a means to power, and if they can get into power without a democracy, they will.