How do they call a race with 7% of the vote in

[Mortos]

with a 10% lead?

Rand Paul 55%
Jack Conway 45%

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

1. The exit polls show a huge lead for Paul

This is sadly not going to be close.

[DJ13]

11. Like the exit polls showed a huge Kerry win in 04?

[Barack_America]

2. The ever suspect exit polls.

[Swede Atlanta]

3. Corporate masters.

Their masters have told them that even if it was 70-30 the other way to repeat the corporate mantra...repukkes win, repukkes win, repukkes win.

[Wickerman]

4. Might have trad blue districts coming in red

and he was up 10 points in most polls.

I do think its early, but everyone wants to be the first to call it. :shrug:

[JI7]

5. because they don't base it just on that 7 percent that is in

[USArmyParatrooper]

6. It's a combination of things

7% is actually a quite sizable sample size even for scientific polling data. They can also factor in which districts are still outstanding and how they lean politically.

[Mortos]

8. I lived in Kentucky when I was 4 or 5

Lived in a trailer. Only thing I remember is a puppy getting killed by a slamming door. Haven't liked Kentucky since. Don't even eat KFC. How can the majority of people vote for Rand Paul?

[notesdev]

9. ^ this

Amazing what can be done with statistics, comparing reference points from previous elections they can probably call elections at 1-2% returns with a very high degree of confidence. If they're waiting all the way to 7% then it's likely they already made the call internally and held onto it out of an overabundance of caution (as is appropriate).

[TheKentuckian]

7. One channel was calling it with Jack up four points. Hackery

[Obamanaut]

10. Same question here -> link in message block

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x9447482

[elocs]

12. Here's a thought: for better or worse maybe Kentucky voters preferred Paul.

Not every Democratic loss is a stolen election or some kind of conspiracy.
I can accept that, others seem not able to do so.

[WinkyDink]

13. A goofy-looking moron can win a place in our Senate. Stunning.