The bad news is we lose the House ... the good news is no chance R take the Senate.

[Statistical]

To keep the House at this point would require winning every single toss up race, losing no Dem leaning race, and then get 3 upsets in R leaning races.

[jgraz]

1. Well, they still hold their 40+ controlling minority.

[budkin]

2. They're gonna get damn close though if we lose PA, IL, and CO

[Statistical]

3. Close yup. I think it will be 52/48.

To get 50 they would need all 5 tossup states. A clean sweep. CO, IL, PA, WA, NV.

If they lose 1 they need CA (which is even less likely). If they lose 2 they can't get to 50 even w/ CA.

[Hawkeye-X]

4. CO holds, no problem

I know in '12 - Coffmann and Lamborn may lose their seats due to redistricting (thank god we still have a Democratic majority on the state level, and we can finally remove those two ugly brutes by 2012.)