The 10 remaining house races: results, maps, updates, and predictions

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Predictions

CNN projects 243-192 Republican majority.

Based on what I see in these 10 races there are:
Probable Dem seats: 4 = 190 seats
Toss-ups: 4
Probable Rep seats: 2 = 241 seats

Split the toss-ups = Precisely the projection of CNN.


A closer look


Chandler (Incumbent), D
119,845 50%

Barr, R
119,245 50%
100% of precincts reporting

Discussion: Barr announced that he will contest the results.



Larsen (Incumbent), D
97,731 50%

Koster, R
97,224 50%
71% of precincts reporting

Discussion: Toss-up, no telling. Votes from all counties left and they are fairly equally distributed.



McNerney (Incumbent), D
82,124 48%

Harmer, R
82,003 47%
100% of precincts reporting

Discussion: Could this be closer? Local media reports that Harmer is now "leading by 23 votes."



Vidak, R
32,531 51%

Costa (Incumbent), D
30,708 49%
100% of precincts reporting

Discussion: Fair lead for Costa to make up.



Grijalva (Incumbent), D
62,459 49%

McClung, R
58,376 45%
100% of precincts reporting

Discussion: Grijalva has declared victory but McClung hasn't conceded.



Giffords (Incumbent), D
120,175 48%

Kelly, R
117,826 48%
100% of precincts reporting

Discussion: Neither candidate conceding as of tonight.



Farenthold, R
50,954 48%

Ortiz (Incumbent), D

50,155 47%
100% of precincts reporting

Discussion: There are military and overseas ballots left to be counted but they appear to be insufficient to make up the gap.




Maffei (Incumbent), D
95,286 51%

Buerkle, R
93,090 49%
96% of precincts reporting

Discussion: Most outstanding ballots are from a Republican Wayne County but there are unreceived ballots from Maffei stronghold Onondaga County. This will be a close one.



Walsh, R
97,403 49%

Bean (Incumbent), D
96,850 48%
100% of precincts reporting

Discussion: Walsh has declared victory but Bean hasn't conceded with votes left to be counted and likely a good amount.



Connolly (Incumbent), D
111,615 49%

Fimian
110,695 49%
100% of precincts reporting

Discussion: WP reports tonight that Connolly "led Fimian by 487 votes late Tuesday night and then increased his lead after ballots were counted from two last Fairfax County precincts where voting machines had malfunctioned." Recount possible and would "begin the week of Thanksgiving."

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1. I'll update here as we learn more...

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2. MSNBC projects dems take 193

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3. Democrat Raul Grijalva wins re-election

PHOENIX - Rep. Raul Grijalva won re-election to a fifth term in southern Arizona's 7th Congressional District.

Vote tallies released Thursday show Grijalva widened his lead over GOP newcomer Ruth McClung from 3 percent to 4 1/2 percent. That was enough for The Associated Press to declare him the race winner.

The Democrat was at risk of defeat for the first time in years because of a backlash over his call for a boycott of Arizona over its new immigration law.

http://www.abc15.com/dpp/news/region_central_southern_az/other/democrat-raul-grijalva-wins-re-election