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Edited on Thu Nov-04-10 07:46 AM by ProgressiveEconomist
according to Republican pollster Frank Luntz. Based on focus-group testing, he rates a Harry Reid healthcare reform ad BEST of this cycle. Luntz was on O'Lielly last night with dynamic focus-group rating curves superimposed on various election ads of this season. Each ad had two moving average rating lines rising and falling in real time as it ran--blue for Democrats, red for Republicans.
Neither Democrats nor Republicans liked Kentucky Senate candidate Conway's anti-Ron-Paul "Aqua Buddha" ad. But both parties' focus groups LOVED a Reid ad focusing on how healthcare reform has helped one Nevada woman in her struggle to pay thousands of dollars in prescription cancer drug costs. As Reid tells the woman's story, both lines climb steeply--blue up to 80 percent favorable, red up to 60 percent. The lines climb again when Reid talks about "58,000 seniors" getting help with the Medicare prescription drug donut-hole this year, with the reform scheduled eventually to eliminate the donut-hole entirely.
Like Jerry Brown, Harry Reid evidently had EXCELLENT simple and direct campaign ads. And those ads evidently turned the tide for both of them. Brown's ads had Meg Whitman indirectly endorsing his performance as governor 30 years ago and parroting archived tapes of Ahhnold.
But I agree with Luntz (for the first time) about the Reid ad. It took guts--or a desperation gamble--to run TOWARD healthcare reform when most everyone else was running away from it.
The beauty of Reid's ad is that, unlike Brown's ads, it's easy for ANY Democrat to reproduce. (I don't know whether Luntz ran Brown's ads for his focus groups.) Just find one sick constituent who's been helped by health care reform and tell her story, focusing only on that one person, not on legislative details. As we move toward the 2012 election, finding people who will have been helped will get easier and easier, as long as the President doesn't fail to veto any Republican repeal attempts. I predict this weill by no means be the last time we'll see versions of Reid's healthcare reform ad.
I've never understood how Obama's superb achievements on health care and on the economy got to be so disparaged by right-wing lies that Democrats decided to run away from them, rather than finding simple convincing ways to run TOWARD them.
What if Feingold in WI, Lincoln in AR, Sestak in PA, Gianoulis in IL, Ellsworth in IN, and Potter in ND had run versions of the same ad? Surely we would have lost fewer than six seats in the Senate.
And what if Meek in FL, Fisher in OH, Conway in KY, McAdams in AK, and Hodes in NH had run versions of Reid's health reform ad? Maybe we would have even picked up some Republican seats.
And what if incumbent Democrats who lost their House seats had run versions of Reid's ad? Maybe we even would have kept the House.
WHAT'S YOUR OPINION?
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