from IPS News Service:
Heading Towards the End of Globalisation?By Mario Osava
RIO DE JANEIRO, Nov 9, 2010 (IPS) - A "grave recession" in the world economy may lie ahead, with a profusion of new barriers to trade and capital flows, if the Group of 20 major economies (G20) fail to come up with solutions to the present crisis.
The G20 will probably begin to suffer "progressive fragmentation" at its Nov. 11-12 summit in Seoul, because it is based on "unsustainable coalitions" and there are insurmountable conflicts between members, according to Fernando Cardim, a professor at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro.
Only "a remarkable diplomatic initiative" at this point could bring about the common understanding needed for "a collective solution," which would be the only way out of the global economic crisis, he said. "Perhaps the vision of the abyss" will stimulate a spirit of cooperation among government leaders, the Brazilian professor added.
The G20 is made up of the main industrial powers and emerging economies, spanning wide differences: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, the United Kingdom, the United States and Turkey, as well as the European Union.
Carlos Tadheu de Freitas, chief economist for the National Trade Federation and former head of Brazil's Central Bank, said nothing but "hot air" would come out of the Seoul summit. He forecast a period of global "stagflation", with stagnation or deceleration of economic activity in emerging countries that had previously been growing, aggravated by inflation. ........(more)
The complete piece is at:
http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=53507