Nov. 15 (
Bloomberg) -- Manufacturing in the New York region unexpectedly contracted in November for the first time in more than a year, a warning sign the industry that led the economy out of the recession may again be cooling.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s general economic index fell to minus 11.1 from 15.7 in October. Readings less than zero signal contractions in the so-called Empire State Index, which covers New York, northern New Jersey and southern Connecticut. Economists forecast the measure would fall to 14 this month, according to the median projection in a Bloomberg News survey.
Continued growth in export demand and in business investment may not be enough to overcome the end of stockpile rebuilding and may lead to slower factory expansion in coming months. Measures of new orders, shipments and employment weakened in today’s report.
“Things have eased back on the manufacturing side,” said Ken Mayland, president of ClearView Economics LLC in Pepper Pike, Ohio. The boost from inventory-building that supported factories most of this year is “now dying off. Now almost everything going forward is going to be purely demand-based.” ............(more)
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